Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Gothic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Gothic Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Gothic

Only 18 developers shipped a Gothic Deckbuilding in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Slots & Daggers, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 48 more are announced, ×4.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×33 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $660; 1 in 20 cleared $1.7M, ×3745 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 48 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 32.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 48 announced, ×4.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Gothic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 18
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $22k → $659 (still earning) → $5.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Gothic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 18
Bottom 30% $659 (exactly $659)
Median $15k (exactly $15,467)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,578)
Top 5% $1.8M (exactly $1,778,814)
Developers, 2 yr 18
Released games 33
Announced 48
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 27%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Gothic
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Deckbuilding; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Card Battler, Roguelike, Roguelite
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 8,284 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $660, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $1.7M.

3 in 10 developers made under $660. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 48 games are announced against 12 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Lost in Random™ older $29.99 4,479 88% 134k $4.0M (exactly $4,029,756) Zoink, Thunderful
Slots & Daggers $7.99 7,421 93% 223k $1.8M (exactly $1,778,814) Friedemann
Erannorth Chronicles older $20.99 407 85% 12k $256k (exactly $256,288) Spyridon Thalassinos
Few Nights More $14.99 382 81% 11k $172k (exactly $171,785) Aeterna Ludi
Vambrace: Dungeon Monarch $14.99 61 70% 1.8k $27k (exactly $27,432) Dvora Studio Co. Ltd.
Deliverance & Reign older $7.99 106 80% 3.2k $25k (exactly $25,408) One Up Plus
Claymores of the Lost Kingdom $9.99 83 67% 2.5k $25k (exactly $24,875) Ultaan Games
CARD QUEST $9.99 72 69% 2.2k $22k (exactly $21,578) MEOW STORE GAME
The Dream Labyrinth $14.99 44 81% 1.3k $20k (exactly $19,787) GGG`s
Fortune Seller $6.99 81 85% 2.4k $17k (exactly $16,986) Kiwick
Summoner's Gambit $7.99 69 52% 2.1k $17k (exactly $16,539) Billion Studio
Ashes of Morgravia $11.99 43 67% 1.3k $15k (exactly $15,467) background blur.
Last Bullet $6.99 28 100% 840 $5.9k (exactly $5,872) ToxicByteGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.