Do I ship it?

GamesPlatformerPlatformer + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim Platformer?

Platformer + Dating Sim

Only 19 developers shipped a Dating Sim Platformer in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MOTORSLICE, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.0k, ×6.3 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $1.7k. Revenue is up 30% on the market; 15 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.2 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 6.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 30% on the market, 15 announced, ×1.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Platformer + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.9k → $1.7k → $36k (still earning) → $2.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Platformer + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $1.7k (exactly $1,704)
Median $3.0k (exactly $2,970)
Top 25% $8.1k (exactly $8,095)
Top 5% $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 47
Announced 15
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 30% on the market, supply 115% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Platformer, Dating Sim; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry 2D Platformer, Action-Adventure, Adventure
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 82% positive over 8,326 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.8k, median $3.0k, 1 in 4 over $8.0k, 1 in 20 over $3.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.8k. 8 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Platformer with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PinballStrong odds10 devs · median $2.5k · 6 announced
  2. + Combat RacingFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  3. + FMVFair9 devs · median $899 · 10 announced
  4. + SimulationFair281 devs · median $628 · 235 announced
  5. + Grid-Based MovementFair23 devs · median $539 · 18 announced
  6. + AutomationFair13 devs · median $449 · 16 announced
  7. + Turn-Based TacticsLong shot15 devs · median $360 · 18 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $7.2k · 90 announced
  9. + Co-op CampaignPoor odds32 devs · median $6.5k · 90 announced
  10. + JRPGPoor odds14 devs · median $5.8k · 38 announced
  11. + SkateboardingPoor odds14 devs · median $4.8k · 23 announced
  12. + DragonsPoor odds24 devs · median $4.8k · 46 announced

All 206 pairs on the Platformer page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
MOTORSLICE $19.99 5,467 85% 164k $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) Regular Studio
Goblin Vyke: The Thief Tycoon $14.99 1,397 70% 42k $628k (exactly $628,231) Art Thieves
Romancelvania older $24.99 253 75% 7.6k $190k (exactly $189,674) The Deep End Games
FURRY SEX: Cabaret 💋🔞 older $6.99 299 71% 9.0k $63k (exactly $62,700) Furry Tails
Single By Choice older $7.99 231 90% 6.9k $55k (exactly $55,371) AIROTS, 非魚創意
romantic player older $2.99 424 73% 13k $38k (exactly $38,033) Ronin SoftWork
The Cloud Dream of the Nine older $19.99 63 84% 1.9k $38k (exactly $37,781) Sesisoft
With Your Coworker $0.99 1,220 82% 37k $36k (exactly $36,234) 搖滾冰塊
Halloween SEX Party [18+] older $6.99 142 77% 4.3k $30k (exactly $29,777) Romantic Room
CODE: PANDORA 2 $9.99 35 74% 1.1k $10k (exactly $10,490) Towndarktales
버튜버 파라노이아 - Vtuber Paranoia $14.99 18 94% 540 $8.1k (exactly $8,095) 유진게임즈
Wet Dreams Spa $9.99 18 83% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Xlyph Bara Games
SWEYET(etc.) $9.99 14 100% 420 $4.2k (exactly $4,196) Liam Kenna (Shmiam, Sshmiam, 5hmiam, Sh… (Liam Kenna (Shmiam, Sshmiam, 5hmiam, Shmiam Shmenna))
Last Sin of Soul $2.99 36 83% 1.1k $3.2k (exactly $3,229) Rabro
Theanthria · EA $4.99 21 71% 630 $3.1k (exactly $3,144) HectoCacto
黄色猫片 $0.99 100 91% 3.0k $3.0k (exactly $2,970) Basement Games, 86岁按时吃饭

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.