Do I ship it?

GamesQuick-Time EventsQuick-Time Events + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Quick-Time Events Dating Sim?

Quick-Time Events + Dating Sim

Only 17 developers shipped a Quick-Time Events Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Hello Love: 18 Again, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 16 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 4 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×31 the market's $480 for a 4 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $750. Revenue is up 485% on the market; 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 31.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 485% on the market, 16 announced, ×2.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Quick-Time Events + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $352k → $4.6k → $15k → $57k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Quick-Time Events + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $748 (exactly $748)
Median $15k (exactly $14,861)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $56,977)
Top 5% $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 36
Announced 16
Effort 4 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 485% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Quick-Time Events
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
4 / 10 · mid 2D, writing-heavy, or simple 3D
Systems
Quick-Time Events, Dating Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Visual Novel, Choices Matter, Interactive Fiction
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cinematic, Emotional, First-Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 3,838 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $750, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $56k, 1 in 20 over $1.2M.

3 in 10 developers made under $750. 6 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 16 games are announced against 8 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Quick-Time Events with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Shoot 'Em UpFair8 devs · median $1.2k · 12 announced
  2. + Life SimFair28 devs · median $958 · 33 announced
  3. + SimulationFair116 devs · median $748 · 133 announced
  4. + CollectathonFair15 devs · median $720 · 18 announced
  5. + Resource ManagementFair46 devs · median $719 · 55 announced
  6. + FlightFair9 devs · median $657 · 9 announced
  7. + AliensFair12 devs · median $628 · 14 announced
  8. + SpaceFair16 devs · median $597 · 24 announced
  9. + Bullet TimeLong shot10 devs · median $390 · 15 announced
  10. + DemonsLong shot17 devs · median $300 · 22 announced
  11. + Bullet HellLong shot27 devs · median $239 · 25 announced
  12. + FMVPoor odds13 devs · median $43k · 7 announced

All 110 pairs on the Quick-Time Events page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Hello Love: 18 Again $19.99 2,075 92% 62k $1.2M (exactly $1,244,378) 念念而忘(Echofall Studio)
恋爱单选题 older $10.99 2,424 81% 73k $799k (exactly $799,193) 无忧传媒
Superscout older $17.99 652 75% 20k $352k (exactly $351,884) Mountain and Sea Studio
Growing Things Up - Season 1 $12.99 707 91% 21k $276k (exactly $275,518) King, BLANQ
反转21克 older $8.99 1,020 72% 31k $275k (exactly $275,094) 想象颗粒
Rainbow Billy: The Curse of the Leviathan older $19.99 147 91% 4.4k $88k (exactly $88,156) ManaVoid Entertainment
Sorry! I surrounded beauty! $5.99 344 82% 10k $62k (exactly $61,817) Really Games
我的同事不对劲 $8.99 215 89% 6.5k $58k (exactly $57,986) 11J Studio
My Cute Roommate 2 $24.99 76 59% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) Astaros3d
Couple-Cultivation Saves the World $7.99 196 59% 5.9k $47k (exactly $46,981) Guns&Roses Studio
With Eyes Closed - Season 2 $12.99 70 78% 2.1k $27k (exactly $27,279) Ker
Beta Kafe : Write Your Love Story $6.99 71 81% 2.1k $15k (exactly $14,889) Cine-mo
MILF Sex Prison: Sector X $7.99 62 75% 1.9k $15k (exactly $14,861) Kinky Business Group
Pattaya Simulator $8.99 22 90% 660 $5.9k (exactly $5,933) N-nic Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.