Do I ship it?

GamesAction-AdventureAction-Adventure + Dating Sim

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dating Sim Action-Adventure?

Action-Adventure + Dating Sim

Of 63 developers who shipped a Dating Sim Action-Adventure in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 69 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $12k, ×19 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $2.4k. Revenue is flat on the market; 69 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 18.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 69 announced, ×1.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Action-Adventure + Dating Sim
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 63
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $12k → $23k → $5.2k → $5.1k → $23k → $5.1k → $16k (still earning) → $87k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Action-Adventure + Dating Sim: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 63
Bottom 30% $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Median $12k (exactly $11,867)
Top 25% $87k (exactly $86,602)
Top 5% $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786)
Developers, 2 yr 63
Released games 178
Announced 69
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 8%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Action-Adventure
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Action-Adventure, Dating Sim; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Anime
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 73% positive over 19,997 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.4k, median $12k, 1 in 4 over $86k, 1 in 20 over $1.0M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.4k. 7 in 10 of the 30 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 69 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Action-Adventure with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + MinigamesFair18 devs · median $6.7k · 19 announced
  2. + BikesFair11 devs · median $2.5k · 11 announced
  3. + TransportationFair21 devs · median $2.3k · 22 announced
  4. + MotorbikeFair9 devs · median $2.3k · 12 announced
  5. + TypingLong shot14 devs · median $360 · 16 announced
  6. + Time AttackLong shot12 devs · median $150 · 17 announced
  7. + Character Action GamePoor odds23 devs · median $58k · 93 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds15 devs · median $25k · 116 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds49 devs · median $25k · 133 announced
  10. + LGBTQ+Poor odds81 devs · median $24k · 135 announced
  11. + Villain ProtagonistPoor odds12 devs · median $17k · 26 announced
  12. + Naval CombatPoor odds24 devs · median $15k · 71 announced

All 242 pairs on the Action-Adventure page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal older $19.99 190,184 56% 5.7M $114M (exactly $114,053,345) 鬼谷工作室
Yakuza Kiwami 3 & Dark Ties $59.99 2,229 62% 67k $4.0M (exactly $4,011,531) RGG Studio
SYNDUALITY Echo of Ada $39.99 3,303 40% 99k $4.0M (exactly $3,962,609) Game Studio Inc.
MOTORSLICE $19.99 5,467 85% 164k $3.3M (exactly $3,278,560) Regular Studio
Potion Permit older $19.99 4,358 78% 131k $2.6M (exactly $2,613,493) MassHive Media
Yakuza 0 Director's Cut $49.99 1,628 80% 49k $2.4M (exactly $2,441,512) RGG Studio
Moonstone Island older $19.99 4,063 84% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,436,581) Studio Supersoft
Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰 older $19.99 2,636 82% 79k $1.6M (exactly $1,580,809) Beijing Litchi Culture Media Co., Ltd.
BUSTAFELLOWS older $39.99 968 86% 29k $1.2M (exactly $1,161,310) NIPPON CULTURAL BROADCASTING EXTEND INC.
SHUTEN ORDER $49.99 712 80% 21k $1.1M (exactly $1,067,786) Neilo Inc.
The Wife Next Door $16.99 1,951 89% 59k $994k (exactly $994,425) 雪山雞白郎, SnowGBL
Return from Core $16.99 1,620 75% 49k $826k (exactly $825,714) 顽核社 FuncoreClub
Yakuza Kiwami $19.99 1,334 82% 40k $800k (exactly $800,000) RGG Studio
Mahou Arms $39.99 618 73% 19k $741k (exactly $741,415) Dischan Media
Yakuza Kiwami 2 $19.99 1,135 82% 34k $681k (exactly $680,660) RGG Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.