Do I ship it?

GamesDating SimDating Sim + Dogs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dog Dating Sim?

Dating Sim + Dogs

Only 11 developers shipped a Dog Dating Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Anthro Heat, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 5 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×3.2 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $240. Momentum is unreadable here, too few recent games; 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.2 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 5 announced, ×0.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Dating Sim + Dogs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 11
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.1k → $12k → $1.5k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Dating Sim + Dogs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 11
Bottom 30% $239 (exactly $239)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,499)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,449)
Top 5% $566k (exactly $565,911)
Developers, 2 yr 11
Released games 40
Announced 5
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 350% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 5%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Dating Sim
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band
Dogs
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Dating Sim
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,151 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $240, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $560k.

3 in 10 developers made under $240. 5 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Dating Sim with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + WarStrong odds8 devs · median $100k · 3 announced
  2. + FMVStrong odds148 devs · median $57k · 111 announced
  3. + Souls-likeStrong odds17 devs · median $34k · 8 announced
  4. + AliensStrong odds20 devs · median $6.7k · 15 announced
  5. + PlatformerStrong odds19 devs · median $3.0k · 15 announced
  6. + HistoricalFair39 devs · median $27k · 44 announced
  7. + FPSFair47 devs · median $19k · 36 announced
  8. + Post-apocalypticFair29 devs · median $15k · 34 announced
  9. + Quick-Time EventsFair17 devs · median $15k · 16 announced
  10. + Immersive SimFair295 devs · median $13k · 296 announced
  11. + Action-AdventureFair63 devs · median $12k · 69 announced
  12. + TacticalFair13 devs · median $11k · 9 announced

All 142 pairs on the Dating Sim page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sakura Spirit older $9.99 4,877 77% 146k $1.5M (exactly $1,461,637) Winged Cloud
Anthro Heat $29.99 629 92% 19k $566k (exactly $565,911) Blue Lizard Studios
Spice&Wolf VR2 older $24.99 663 96% 20k $497k (exactly $497,051) SpicyTails
Sakura Angels older $9.99 1,494 84% 45k $448k (exactly $447,752) Winged Cloud
Furry Shades of Gay 2: A Shade Gayer older $9.99 738 96% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 2: Sins of the City older $9.99 708 91% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) Furlough Games
Furry Shades of Gay older $6.99 835 91% 25k $175k (exactly $175,100) Furlough Games
Milfylicious - Chapter I $14.99 359 81% 11k $161k (exactly $161,442) Maximus
Gender Bender DNA Twister Extreme older $24.99 171 83% 5.1k $128k (exactly $128,199) Transcendent Games
Purrfect Apawcalypse: Love at Furst Bite older $4.99 826 98% 25k $124k (exactly $123,652) Denny Truong, Andy Schneider
Dawg Game $3.99 104 98% 3.1k $12k (exactly $12,449) Big Noses Entertainment
The Peak of Life $8.99 30 66% 900 $8.1k (exactly $8,091) XY Game
Naughty Doug $12.99 20 90% 600 $7.8k (exactly $7,794) Heedless
Wantama☆Life $24.99 2 100% 60 $1.5k (exactly $1,499) CyberStep, Inc.
Hentai Fluffy Wolf Camp!! $4.99 3 33% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Team Tea Mascot
Furry Uncensored $3.99 2 50% 60 $239 (exactly $239) FURRAI_XXX
Bad Dog, Good Nights $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Bad Dog Banjo
Wolf Girl: Brazen NTR Exhibition!! $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Team Tea Mascot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.