Do I ship it?

Games › RTS › RTS + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk RTS?

RTS + Cyberpunk

Only 17 developers shipped a Cyberpunk RTS in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Globalism, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 37 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 7 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $450, ×0.3 the market's $1.5k for a 7 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper, while revenue is down 90% on the market.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 37 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RTS + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 17
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $1.9k → $750 → $1.4k → $90 (still earning) → $90 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RTS + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 17
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 5% $15k (exactly $15,295)
Developers, 2 yr 17
Released games 52
Announced 37
Effort 7 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

RTS
effort 7 / 10 · low · effort 7 sits in the low band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
7 / 10 · big single-player or serious online
Systems
RTS; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Simulation, Management
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 57% positive over 95 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $450, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $15k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 37 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RTS with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + RomeFair12 devs · median $64k · 13 announced
  2. + Outbreak SimFair16 devs · median $2.6k · 14 announced
  3. + HorrorFair20 devs · median $2.4k · 27 announced
  4. + NavalFair15 devs · median $2.4k · 21 announced
  5. + TabletopFair25 devs · median $1.9k · 33 announced
  6. + SportsLong shot19 devs · median $861 · 9 announced
  7. + PuzzleLong shot48 devs · median $479 · 40 announced
  8. + World War IIPoor odds23 devs · median $105k · 38 announced
  9. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds28 devs · median $64k · 41 announced
  10. + Open WorldPoor odds45 devs · median $35k · 100 announced
  11. + Colony SimPoor odds87 devs · median $31k · 159 announced
  12. + HistoricalPoor odds108 devs · median $30k · 180 announced

All 149 pairs on the RTS page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Satellite Reign 2015 · $2.4M Disintegration 2020 · $189k There Came an Echo 2015 · $112k Re-Legion 2019 · $60k Miner's Mettle 2021 · $54k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Satellite Reign older $29.99 2,619 75% 79k $2.4M (exactly $2,356,314) 5 Lives Studios
Disintegration older $29.99 210 60% 6.3k $189k (exactly $188,937) V1 Interactive
There Came an Echo older $14.99 248 70% 7.4k $112k (exactly $111,526) Iridium Studios
Re-Legion older $9.99 200 62% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) Ice Code Games
Miner's Mettle older $24.99 72 58% 2.2k $54k (exactly $53,978) Singular Scheme
Armed to the Gears older $4.99 178 60% 5.3k $27k (exactly $26,647) WS Software
Nuke Them All older $9.99 76 82% 2.3k $23k (exactly $22,777) Indie PapaMike
Globalism · EA $29.99 17 52% 510 $15k (exactly $15,295) igelanium games
IAH: INTERNET WAR $19.99 23 26% 690 $14k (exactly $13,793) Vitali Kirpu Productions
Make War older $5.99 47 51% 1.4k $8.4k (exactly $8,446) Creepy Brothers
Vox Populi: USA 2024 $7.99 15 80% 450 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Velsin
Tortuga City $7.99 12 83% 360 $2.9k (exactly $2,876) HerrGrievous
Vox Populi: Germany 2025 $7.99 8 87% 240 $1.9k (exactly $1,918) Velsin
TechGuardian: Territory Defense $7.99 7 14% 210 $1.7k (exactly $1,678) Apex Horizon
Xeno Rangers $11.99 4 100% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 9000 Legends
高球王者 GolfKings $11.99 4 75% 120 $1.4k (exactly $1,439) 小如文化
Vox Populi: Australia 2025 $7.99 4 50% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Velsin
Nexus Wars · EA $24.99 1 0% 30 $750 (exactly $750) Ajion Arts

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.