Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Investigation game?

Investigation + Cyberpunk

Of 33 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Investigation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 78 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.8k, ×2.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $200k, ×326 the market median. Revenue is down 90% on the market; 78 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 90% on the market, 78 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 33
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $6.3k → $12k → $779 → $19k → $14k → $1.0k → $629 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 33
Bottom 30% $600 (exactly $600)
Median $1.8k (exactly $1,798)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $13,772)
Top 5% $204k (exactly $204,498)
Developers, 2 yr 33
Released games 106
Announced 78
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 90% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Investigation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Exploration, Puzzle
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, Atmospheric, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 85% positive over 1,752 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $1.8k, 1 in 4 over $13k, 1 in 20 over $200k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 78 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Nobody Wants to Die older $24.99 5,818 83% 175k $4.4M (exactly $4,361,755) Critical Hit Games
Cyber Manhunt older $9.99 14,520 92% 436k $4.4M (exactly $4,351,644) Aluba Van+
Operation: Tango older $19.99 7,167 86% 215k $4.3M (exactly $4,298,050) Clever Plays
Observer: System Redux older $29.99 2,462 84% 74k $2.2M (exactly $2,215,061) Bloober Team, Anshar Studios
Tales of the Neon Sea older $16.99 3,853 84% 116k $2.0M (exactly $1,963,874) YiTi Games
Arctic Eggs older $9.99 5,343 95% 160k $1.6M (exactly $1,601,297) The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie,… (The Water Museum, cockydoody, abmarnie, Cameron Ginex)
Lacuna – A Sci-Fi Noir Adventure older $15.99 2,158 91% 65k $1.0M (exactly $1,035,193) DigiTales Interactive
Gamedec - Definitive Edition older $29.99 1,119 78% 34k $1.0M (exactly $1,006,764) Anshar Studios
USAC: Code Breach older $14.99 1,067 91% 32k $480k (exactly $479,830) Questions Factory
The Divine Invasion older $14.99 690 79% 21k $310k (exactly $310,293) Whale Rock Games
Cybernetic Fault $14.99 679 78% 20k $305k (exactly $305,346) Whale Rock Games
Creepy Redneck Dinosaur Mansion 3 $19.99 341 96% 10k $204k (exactly $204,498) Strange Scaffold
HARDCODED $16.99 282 90% 8.5k $144k (exactly $143,735) Ghost Hug Games
Mars Vice $24.99 70 97% 2.1k $52k (exactly $52,479) Rho Labyrinths GmbH
Neon Blood $17.99 73 60% 2.2k $39k (exactly $39,398) ChaoticBrain Studios
how to kill a fly [ H2KAF ] $9.99 71 97% 2.1k $21k (exactly $21,279) Radtel Collective
Mini Mini Golf Golf $9.99 65 87% 2.0k $19k (exactly $19,480) Three More Years
Neon Hearts City $9.99 46 80% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Cosmic Void
Au Revoir $4.99 92 95% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Invisible Studio
New Eromancer $11.99 33 48% 990 $12k (exactly $11,870) OneCoin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.