Do I ship it?

GamesDeckbuildingDeckbuilding + Cyberpunk

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cyberpunk Deckbuilding?

Deckbuilding + Cyberpunk

Of 55 developers who shipped a Cyberpunk Deckbuilding in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 91 more are announced, ×2.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.7k, ×2.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $270; 1 in 20 cleared $89k, ×143 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 91 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 91 announced, ×2.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Deckbuilding + Cyberpunk
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 55
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $779 → $54k → $4.2k → $5.4k → $1.3k → $5.4k → $179 (still earning) → $719 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Deckbuilding + Cyberpunk: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 55
Bottom 30% $270 (exactly $270)
Median $1.7k (exactly $1,678)
Top 25% $4.6k (exactly $4,585)
Top 5% $90k (exactly $89,670)
Developers, 2 yr 55
Released games 103
Announced 91
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.40

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Deckbuilding
effort 3 / 10 · high · card pools and run logic
Cyberpunk
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Deckbuilding; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Strategy, Card Game, Roguelite
Price point
$8.40 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $8.40.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 4,586 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $270, median $1.7k, 1 in 4 over $4.5k, 1 in 20 over $89k.

3 in 10 developers made under $270. 8 in 10 of the 29 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 91 games are announced against 35 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Deckbuilding with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + AutomationFair44 devs · median $2.8k · 51 announced
  2. + Inventory ManagementFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  3. + ArcadeFair170 devs · median $1.9k · 234 announced
  4. + 2D FighterFair17 devs · median $959 · 12 announced
  5. + Party GameFair22 devs · median $719 · 30 announced
  6. + SwordplayFair11 devs · median $599 · 13 announced
  7. + Point & ClickFair34 devs · median $598 · 36 announced
  8. + Traditional RoguelikeFair53 devs · median $537 · 79 announced
  9. + LogicFair84 devs · median $419 · 118 announced
  10. + LovecraftianPoor odds19 devs · median $72k · 56 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds13 devs · median $30k · 31 announced
  12. + Visual NovelPoor odds36 devs · median $26k · 64 announced

All 141 pairs on the Deckbuilding page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rebellion GODSOUL: Awakening · EA $17.99 2,458 85% 74k $1.3M (exactly $1,326,583) U-Secret Studio
Beneath Oresa older $24.99 1,122 78% 34k $841k (exactly $841,163) Broken Spear Inc.
Card-en-Ciel $24.99 856 90% 26k $642k (exactly $641,743) INTI CREATES CO., LTD.
Nowhere Prophet older $24.99 721 77% 22k $541k (exactly $540,534) Sharkbomb Studios
Nitro Kid older $19.99 410 89% 12k $246k (exactly $245,877) Wildboy Studios
System Crash older $14.99 250 83% 7.5k $112k (exactly $112,425) Rogue Moon Studios
Zero Division older $12.99 271 87% 8.1k $106k (exactly $105,609) Robot Cat Limited
Theseus Protocol older $9.99 317 65% 9.5k $95k (exactly $95,005) YueTang(Xiamen)
Technotopia $4.99 599 86% 18k $90k (exactly $89,670) Yustas
Into The Grid · EA $14.99 195 83% 5.9k $88k (exactly $87,692) Flatline Studios
HeistGeist $19.90 116 95% 3.5k $69k (exactly $69,252) Doublequote Studio
ARC SEED $14.99 89 74% 2.7k $40k (exactly $40,023) Massive Galaxy Studios
Neongarten $9.99 67 86% 2.0k $20k (exactly $20,080) Moonroof Studios
The Spire of Mech Zero $4.99 132 91% 4.0k $20k (exactly $19,760) ZZ Game
Ctrl Alt Deal $19.99 28 85% 840 $17k (exactly $16,792) Only By Midnight Ltd.
NET.CRAWL $9.99 46 95% 1.4k $14k (exactly $13,786) Everyone is Solid

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.