Games › Incremental › Incremental + Crime
Should I ship a Crime Incremental game?
Incremental + Crime
Of 23 developers who shipped a Crime Incremental game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced, ×2.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $600, level with the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $46k, ×74 the market median. Revenue is up 215% on the market; 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $179 (exactly $179) |
|---|---|
| Median | $599 (exactly $599) |
| Top 25% | $3.1k (exactly $3,055) |
| Top 5% | $47k (exactly $46,502) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 23 |
| Released games | 62 |
| Announced | 36 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 215% on the market, supply 185% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Incremental
- effort 1 / 10 · high · formulas and upgrade tables
- Crime
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Incremental; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Multiple Endings, Simulation, Adventure
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $7.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Atmospheric, Anime
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $7.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 71% positive over 560 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 17 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.1 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Incremental with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + OtomeStrong odds
- + Martial ArtsFair
- + FarmingFair
- + Dynamic NarrationFair
- + MiningFair
- + Souls-likeFair
- + Arena ShooterFair
- + Dating SimFair
- + UndergroundFair
- + LootFair
- + SupernaturalFair
Comparable games
Peeping Dorm Manager 2023 · $2.0M 
Ravenous Devils 2022 · $1.4M 
Chicken Police - Paint it RED! 2020 · $974k 
Weedcraft Inc 2019 · $929k 
1 to 1 humanoid edible toys 2024 · $580k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Peeping Dorm Manager | older | $10.99 | 6,206 92% | 186k | $2.0M (exactly $2,046,118) | HornyDoge |
| | Ravenous Devils | older | $4.99 | 9,477 92% | 284k | $1.4M (exactly $1,418,707) | Bad Vices Games |
| | Chicken Police - Paint it RED! | older | $19.99 | 1,624 94% | 49k | $974k (exactly $973,913) | The Wild Gentlemen |
| | Weedcraft Inc | older | $19.99 | 1,549 79% | 46k | $929k (exactly $928,935) | Vile Monarch |
| | 1 to 1 humanoid edible toys | older | $7.99 | 2,420 92% | 73k | $580k (exactly $580,074) | 汉谟拉比炒面, 我的屁是香哒 |
 | JudgeSim | older | $6.99 | 1,376 84% | 41k | $289k (exactly $288,547) | DelusionArt Studio |
 | CLICKOLDING | older | $2.99 | 1,662 81% | 50k | $149k (exactly $149,081) | Strange Scaffold |
 | 坏小孩 | older | $2.99 | 1,586 95% | 48k | $142k (exactly $142,264) | WildMonkey |
 | Denos City: Complete Game | older | $11.99 | 217 70% | 6.5k | $78k (exactly $78,055) | Backhole |
 | 春泥 Soil of Rebirth | $9.99 | 216 73% | 6.5k | $65k (exactly $64,735) | 午夜说书人 | |
 | Snowed Under | 雪葬 | $7.99 | 194 60% | 5.8k | $47k (exactly $46,502) | Chilla's Art | |
 | Femme Fatality | $7.99 | 66 89% | 2.0k | $16k (exactly $15,820) | Jeistar | |
 | High School Rizz Party | $6.99 | 22 81% | 660 | $4.6k (exactly $4,613) | MirKO | |
 | Streetlight Syndicate | $6.99 | 17 82% | 510 | $3.6k (exactly $3,565) | BeagleGuy | |
 | 三九 | $5.99 | 17 64% | 510 | $3.1k (exactly $3,055) | 暗极工坊 | |
 | Smoke Town | $6.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $1.9k (exactly $1,887) | TSRV | |
 | Arms Dealer | $5.99 | 9 100% | 270 | $1.6k (exactly $1,617) | Koro Pixel Studio | |
 | The Boston Breeder | $12.99 | 4 25% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | LostWorks | |
 | Idle High | $4.20 | 6 83% | 180 | $756 (exactly $756) | Fat Rooster Game Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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