Games › Crafting › Crafting + Visual Novel
Should I ship a Crafting Visual Novel?
Crafting + Visual Novel
Of 40 developers who shipped a Crafting Visual Novel in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 64 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $870; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×1058 the market median. Revenue is up 140% on the market; 64 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $861 (exactly $861) |
|---|---|
| Median | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) |
| Top 25% | $43k (exactly $42,861) |
| Top 5% | $665k (exactly $664,649) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 40 |
| Released games | 107 |
| Announced | 64 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 140% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Crafting
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Visual Novel
- effort 2 / 10 · high · script, choices and static art
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Crafting, Visual Novel; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Cooking, RPG, Simulation
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $18.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, Cute, Story Rich
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $18.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 87% positive over 5,245 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $870. 7 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 64 games are announced against 18 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + SportsFair
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + IdlerFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + WesternPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
Coffee Talk 2020 · $4.4M 
Wild West Legacy 2024 · $1.4M 
We. The Revolution 2019 · $1.2M 
Coffee Talk Episode 2: Hibiscus & Butterfly 2023 · $1.1M 
Venba 2023 · $1.1M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Coffee Talk | older | $12.99 | 11,271 94% | 338k | $4.4M (exactly $4,392,309) | Toge Productions |
| | Wild West Legacy | older | $26.99 | 1,706 39% | 51k | $1.4M (exactly $1,381,348) | Moon Punch Studio |
| | We. The Revolution | older | $19.99 | 1,997 73% | 60k | $1.2M (exactly $1,197,601) | Polyslash |
| | Coffee Talk Episode 2: Hibiscus & Butterfly | older | $14.99 | 2,492 96% | 75k | $1.1M (exactly $1,120,652) | Toge Productions |
| | Venba | older | $14.99 | 2,393 93% | 72k | $1.1M (exactly $1,076,132) | Visai Games |
 | In Falsus | $39.99 | 788 89% | 24k | $945k (exactly $945,364) | lowiro | |
 | Summer in Mara | older | $19.99 | 1,464 75% | 44k | $878k (exactly $877,961) | Chibig |
 | Sensei! I Like You So Much! | $16.99 | 1,304 86% | 39k | $665k (exactly $664,649) | LaoO Studio (Shanghai Ou Ou Xi Network… (LaoO Studio (Shanghai Ou Ou Xi Network Technology Co. LTD）) | |
 | Witchy Life Story | older | $19.99 | 965 80% | 29k | $579k (exactly $578,710) | Sundew Studios |
 | Fallen Priestess: My Sister's Demonic Bloodline | $18.99 | 622 72% | 19k | $354k (exactly $354,353) | BBQ大好き | |
 | GIRLS MADE PUDDING | $9.99 | 866 95% | 26k | $260k (exactly $259,540) | Kazuhide Oka | |
 | CraftCraft: Fantasy Merchant Simulator | $15.99 | 531 81% | 16k | $255k (exactly $254,721) | Placeholder Gameworks, Pineapple Works | |
 | Kitchen Sync: Aloha! | $19.99 | 159 99% | 4.8k | $95k (exactly $95,352) | Lemonpepper Games | |
 | Anime City | · EA | $14.99 | 201 72% | 6.0k | $90k (exactly $90,390) | Shoujo City Developer |
 | Chinese Street Food Legend | $3.99 | 525 98% | 16k | $63k (exactly $62,842) | HoHo Game Studio | |
 | Bonjour, Cream Inside 💦 | $14.99 | 119 68% | 3.6k | $54k (exactly $53,514) | Juicy Peach Games 🍑 | |
 | Body Sushi | $10.99 | 130 90% | 3.9k | $43k (exactly $42,861) | AOTINA Technology Innovations Ltd. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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