Do I ship it?

GamesCraftingCrafting + Job Simulator

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Job Simulator?

Crafting + Job Simulator

Of 62 developers who shipped a Crafting Job Simulator in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 65 more are announced.

Verdict: strong odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $15k, ×23 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 7 in 10 cleared $4.6k. Revenue is up 490% on the market; 65 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year, ×1.4 per shipper.

Deciding numbers: median 23.1 times the market baseline, revenue up 490% on the market, 65 announced, ×1.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Crafting + Job Simulator
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 62
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $113k → $2.4k → $6.3k → $12k → $18k (still earning) → $18k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Crafting + Job Simulator: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 62
Bottom 30% $4.7k (exactly $4,672)
Median $15k (exactly $14,521)
Top 25% $57k (exactly $56,833)
Top 5% $889k (exactly $889,355)
Developers, 2 yr 62
Released games 78
Announced 65
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 490% on the market, supply 170% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Job Simulator
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Crafting, Job Simulator; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Management, Immersive Sim
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Relaxing
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 24,834 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $4.7k, median $15k, 1 in 4 over $56k, 1 in 20 over $880k.

3 in 10 developers made under $4.7k. 6 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 65 games are announced against 46 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + SportsFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  2. + Turn-BasedFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  3. + IdlerFair235 devs · median $1.7k · 338 announced
  4. + SolitaireFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  5. + LovecraftianPoor odds17 devs · median $174k · 39 announced
  6. + MMORPGPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  7. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $90k · 50 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds160 devs · median $77k · 369 announced
  9. + WesternPoor odds13 devs · median $69k · 23 announced
  10. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  11. + TrainsPoor odds17 devs · median $39k · 30 announced
  12. + Co-opPoor odds208 devs · median $38k · 576 announced

All 200 pairs on the Crafting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
Loddlenaut older $19.99 3,832 98% 115k $2.3M (exactly $2,298,050) Moon Lagoon
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Cheap Car Repair $19.69 3,603 91% 108k $2.1M (exactly $2,128,292) Little Dog Games
Alchemy Factory $17.99 2,529 87% 76k $1.4M (exactly $1,364,901) D5 Copperhead
Bladesong · EA $19.99 1,483 95% 44k $889k (exactly $889,355) SUN AND SERPENT creations
Megastore Simulator · EA $13.99 1,968 93% 59k $826k (exactly $825,970) Yolo Games Studio
KuloNiku: Bowl Up! $11.99 2,295 96% 69k $826k (exactly $825,512) Gambir Studio
Chop Chop Inc. $12.99 1,258 90% 38k $490k (exactly $490,243) NullRef Entertainment
Witchy Business $14.99 865 86% 26k $389k (exactly $388,990) Rogue Duck Interactive
Fuel Harvest Together $13.99 879 69% 26k $369k (exactly $368,916) Say2Sun
Medieval Crafter: Blacksmith $11.99 745 76% 22k $268k (exactly $267,976) Compact Core Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.