Games › Crafting › Crafting + Lovecraftian
Should I ship a Lovecraftian Crafting game?
Crafting + Lovecraftian
Only 17 developers shipped a Lovecraftian Crafting game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Magicraft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 39 more are announced, ×3.9 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $170k, ×277 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $21k; 1 in 20 cleared $7.2M, ×11497 the market median. Revenue is up 120% on the market; 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $20k (exactly $20,236) |
|---|---|
| Median | $174k (exactly $173,913) |
| Top 25% | $389k (exactly $388,990) |
| Top 5% | $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 17 |
| Released games | 37 |
| Announced | 39 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $15.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 120% on the market, supply 45% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 3%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Crafting
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Lovecraftian
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Crafting; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Exploration
- Price point
- $15.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Atmospheric, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $15.99.
The top 10 games average 91% positive over 24,898 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $21k. 4 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 39 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.9 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Crafting with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + SportsFair
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + IdlerFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + WesternPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
Comparable games
Magicraft 2024 · $7.2M 
Cultist Simulator 2018 · $6.3M 
Lucid Blocks 2026 · $1.4M 
Fade to Silence 2019 · $928k 
Welcome to Elderfield 2026 · $720k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Magicraft | $15.99 | 15,051 92% | 452k | $7.2M (exactly $7,219,965) | Wave Games | |
| | Cultist Simulator | older | $19.99 | 10,496 82% | 315k | $6.3M (exactly $6,294,451) | Weather Factory |
| | Lucid Blocks | $9.99 | 4,670 93% | 140k | $1.4M (exactly $1,399,599) | Lucy B. Locks | |
| | Fade to Silence | older | $29.99 | 1,032 62% | 31k | $928k (exactly $928,490) | Black Forest Games |
| | Welcome to Elderfield | $17.99 | 1,334 87% | 40k | $720k (exactly $719,960) | Chris Cote | |
 | DIVE or DIE - Children of Rain | $17.99 | 1,255 91% | 38k | $677k (exactly $677,323) | Drop Rate Studio | |
 | Witchy Business | $14.99 | 865 86% | 26k | $389k (exactly $388,990) | Rogue Duck Interactive | |
 | Stygian: Outer Gods | · EA | $24.99 | 516 80% | 15k | $387k (exactly $386,845) | Misterial Games |
 | Shardpunk | older | $13.99 | 739 92% | 22k | $310k (exactly $310,158) | Clockwork Pile |
 | Alone in the Dark (2008) | older | $9.99 | 1,031 43% | 31k | $309k (exactly $308,991) | Eden Games, Hydravision Entertainment |
 | The Horror at Highrook | $19.99 | 461 90% | 14k | $276k (exactly $276,462) | Nullpointer Games | |
 | Tombwater | $24.99 | 282 92% | 8.5k | $211k (exactly $211,415) | Moth Atlas | |
 | RailGods of Hysterra | · EA | $19.99 | 290 51% | 8.7k | $174k (exactly $173,913) | Troglobytes Games |
 | Peregrino | $16.99 | 174 65% | 5.2k | $89k (exactly $88,688) | Inverge Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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