Do I ship it?

GamesCraftingCrafting + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Split Screen game?

Crafting + Split Screen

Only 7 developers shipped a Crafting Split Screen game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Bober Constructions, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 22 more are announced, ×11 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 2 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $450 against a market of $630. 22 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.7 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 22 announced, ×11 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Crafting + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 7
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $235k → $150
Outcomes for Crafting + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 7
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $450 (exactly $450)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,746)
Top 5% $9.0k (exactly $8,991)
Developers, 2 yr 7
Released games 28
Announced 22
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 60% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Crafting, Split Screen
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 56,353 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $450, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $8.9k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. All of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 22 games are announced against 2 developers who shipped in the last year, ×11 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  2. + SportsFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  4. + IdlerFair235 devs · median $1.7k · 338 announced
  5. + SolitaireFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds17 devs · median $174k · 39 announced
  7. + MMORPGPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $90k · 50 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds160 devs · median $77k · 369 announced
  10. + WesternPoor odds13 devs · median $69k · 23 announced
  11. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds17 devs · median $39k · 30 announced

All 200 pairs on the Crafting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Escapists 2 older $19.99 26,452 90% 794k $16M (exactly $15,863,264) Team17, Mouldy Toof Studios
Hydroneer older $14.99 27,131 85% 814k $12M (exactly $12,200,811) Foulball Hangover
Mercenary Kings: Reloaded Edition older $19.99 1,192 74% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Tribute Games Inc.
Everafter Falls older $19.99 437 86% 13k $262k (exactly $262,069) SquareHusky
First Dwarf · EA older $24.99 314 76% 9.4k $235k (exactly $235,406) Star Drifters
Ultimate Racing 2D 2 older $9.99 485 92% 15k $145k (exactly $145,354) Applimazing
Monster Outbreak older $14.99 79 64% 2.4k $36k (exactly $35,526) GameMunchers
心动满屋 older $3.99 218 75% 6.5k $26k (exactly $26,095) 成都萌创科技有限公司
Bober Constructions $9.99 30 70% 900 $9.0k (exactly $8,991) Simplicity Games
Ultimate Blacksmith Tycoon ~The Appraiser-Shopkeeper Conquers the Blacksmith Trade~ · EA $14.99 15 80% 450 $6.7k (exactly $6,746) Quench Forge
Coffee, Plis $7.99 13 92% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) Divertgames
Highrisers Couch Co-Op · EA $14.99 1 0% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Solar Powered Games
Craftimals: Build to the Sun $1.99 3 100% 90 $179 (exactly $179) Roppy Chop Studios
Donut Riders · EA $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) OUTRISE studios
Holy Carrot Simulator $1.99 2 50% 60 $119 (exactly $119) Lunar Code Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.