Do I ship it?

Games › Crafting › Crafting + Multiple Endings

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Multiple Endings game?

Crafting + Multiple Endings

Of 70 developers who shipped a Crafting Multiple Endings game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 206 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.9k, ×3.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $630; 1 in 20 cleared $660k, ×1058 the market median. Revenue is down 35% on the market; 206 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 35% on the market, 206 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Crafting + Multiple Endings
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 70
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $807 → $21k → $115k → $5.8k → $37k → $718 → $3.5k (still earning) → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Crafting + Multiple Endings: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 70
Bottom 30% $628 (exactly $628)
Median $1.9k (exactly $1,901)
Top 25% $15k (exactly $14,809)
Top 5% $664k (exactly $664,468)
Developers, 2 yr 70
Released games 163
Announced 206
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 35% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Multiple Endings
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Crafting, Multiple Endings; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, RPG, Choices Matter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 27,804 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $630, median $1.9k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $660k.

3 in 10 developers made under $630. 7 in 10 of the 31 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 206 games are announced against 45 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  2. + SportsFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  4. + IdlerFair235 devs · median $1.7k · 338 announced
  5. + SolitaireFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds17 devs · median $174k · 39 announced
  7. + MMORPGPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $90k · 50 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds160 devs · median $77k · 369 announced
  10. + WesternPoor odds13 devs · median $69k · 23 announced
  11. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds17 devs · median $39k · 30 announced

All 200 pairs on the Crafting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Terminator: Resistance 2019 · $20M Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days 2025 · EA · $6.8M ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs 2026 · $5.5M Coffee Talk 2020 · $4.4M Dead Rising® 2 2010 · $3.7M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Terminator: Resistance older $39.99 16,665 91% 500k $20M (exactly $19,993,000) Teyon
Into the Dead: Our Darkest Days · EA $24.99 9,049 89% 271k $6.8M (exactly $6,784,035) PikPok
ReStory: Chill Electronics Repairs $19.99 9,209 95% 276k $5.5M (exactly $5,522,637) Mandragora
Coffee Talk older $12.99 11,271 94% 338k $4.4M (exactly $4,392,309) Toge Productions
Dead Rising® 2 older $19.99 6,227 79% 187k $3.7M (exactly $3,734,332) Capcom Vancouver
SpaceBourne 2 $19.99 4,951 75% 149k $3.0M (exactly $2,969,115) Burak Dabak
UNDYING - "KINGDOM" older $19.99 1,688 78% 51k $1.0M (exactly $1,012,294) Vanimals
Anvil Saga older $19.99 1,457 70% 44k $874k (exactly $873,763) Pirozhok Studio
Spirit Realm · EA older $18.18 1,379 76% 41k $752k (exactly $752,107) 深圳市灵境互娱科技有限公司
Uncle Chop's Rocket Shop $19.99 1,108 84% 33k $664k (exactly $664,468) Beard Envy
Approaching Infinity $17.99 723 95% 22k $390k (exactly $390,203) IBOL
Medieval Blacksmith $19.99 591 79% 18k $354k (exactly $354,423) OGO Play
Million Depth $16.99 673 93% 20k $343k (exactly $343,028) Cyber Space Biotope
CraftCraft: Fantasy Merchant Simulator $15.99 531 81% 16k $255k (exactly $254,721) Placeholder Gameworks, Pineapple Works
Sinner Maker · EA $9.66 545 91% 16k $158k (exactly $157,941) Pantokrator
Creator Chronicles $11.99 424 64% 13k $153k (exactly $152,513) Origin Studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.