Do I ship it?

GamesCraftingCrafting + Local Multiplayer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Local Multiplayer game?

Crafting + Local Multiplayer

Only 19 developers shipped a Crafting Local Multiplayer game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Wild Woods, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 40 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $860; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1250 the market median. Revenue is down 75% on the market; 40 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 75% on the market, 40 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Crafting + Local Multiplayer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 19
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.0k → $19k → $17k → $7.8k → $860 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Crafting + Local Multiplayer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 19
Bottom 30% $860 (exactly $860)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,565)
Top 25% $14k (exactly $14,393)
Top 5% $785k (exactly $785,176)
Developers, 2 yr 19
Released games 70
Announced 40
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $8.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 75% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Multiplayer
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Crafting, Local Multiplayer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Combat, Loot
Price point
$8.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $8.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 2,581 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $860, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $14k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $860. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 40 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  2. + SportsFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  4. + IdlerFair235 devs · median $1.7k · 338 announced
  5. + SolitaireFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds17 devs · median $174k · 39 announced
  7. + MMORPGPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $90k · 50 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds160 devs · median $77k · 369 announced
  10. + WesternPoor odds13 devs · median $69k · 23 announced
  11. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds17 devs · median $39k · 30 announced

All 200 pairs on the Crafting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Wild Woods · EA $14.99 1,746 78% 52k $785k (exactly $785,176) Octofox Games
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
Mercenary Kings: Reloaded Edition older $19.99 1,192 74% 36k $715k (exactly $714,842) Tribute Games Inc.
Robot Roller-Derby Disco Dodgeball older $9.99 2,258 91% 68k $677k (exactly $676,723) Erik Asmussen
Small World older $9.99 931 71% 28k $279k (exactly $279,021) Days of Wonder
SEDAP! A Culinary Adventure $14.99 517 70% 16k $232k (exactly $232,495) kopiforge
Ultimate Racing 2D 2 older $9.99 485 92% 15k $145k (exactly $145,354) Applimazing
USC: Counterforce older $19.99 205 62% 6.2k $123k (exactly $122,938) Angry Cat Studios, Creatio 49
Submarine Titans older $4.99 348 86% 10k $52k (exactly $52,096) Ellipse Studios
Sit-Back Attack · EA $8.99 110 78% 3.3k $30k (exactly $29,667) Stapleton
Raise Your Tribe · EA $9.99 57 52% 1.7k $17k (exactly $17,083) Primeval Forest Studios
The Artifactory $19.99 24 75% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Berries Studios
Soviet Survival · EA $4.99 68 75% 2.0k $10k (exactly $10,180) Hunt Studio
No Heroes Here 2 $19.99 13 61% 390 $7.8k (exactly $7,796) Mad Mimic
Sustained · EA $19.99 10 50% 300 $6.0k (exactly $5,997) Iconic Studios
Battle Architect: Dalasito · EA $9.99 19 52% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) Dalas
Port Town: Survival $6.99 17 35% 510 $3.6k (exactly $3,565) Emre Şahin

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.