Do I ship it?

GamesCraftingCrafting + Local Co-Op

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Crafting Local Co-Op game?

Crafting + Local Co-Op

Of 23 developers who shipped a Crafting Local Co-Op game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 66 more are announced, ×6.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.1k, ×5.0 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $780k, ×1250 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 66 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.0 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 66 announced, ×6.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Crafting + Local Co-Op
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $718 → $169k → $73k → $3.1k → $11k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Crafting + Local Co-Op: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 25% $73k (exactly $72,860)
Top 5% $785k (exactly $785,176)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 75
Announced 66
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $11.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Crafting
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Local Co-Op
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Crafting, Local Co-Op; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Co-op, Adventure
Price point
$11.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $11.99.

The top 10 games average 81% positive over 25,063 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $3.1k, 1 in 4 over $72k, 1 in 20 over $780k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 6 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 66 games are announced against 11 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds62 devs · median $15k · 65 announced
  2. + SportsFair24 devs · median $37k · 26 announced
  3. + Turn-BasedFair16 devs · median $17k · 24 announced
  4. + IdlerFair235 devs · median $1.7k · 338 announced
  5. + SolitaireFair12 devs · median $809 · 20 announced
  6. + LovecraftianPoor odds17 devs · median $174k · 39 announced
  7. + MMORPGPoor odds25 devs · median $111k · 155 announced
  8. + LGBTQ+Poor odds19 devs · median $90k · 50 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds160 devs · median $77k · 369 announced
  10. + WesternPoor odds13 devs · median $69k · 23 announced
  11. + Bullet HeavenPoor odds20 devs · median $44k · 25 announced
  12. + TrainsPoor odds17 devs · median $39k · 30 announced

All 200 pairs on the Crafting page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Spiritfarer®: Farewell Edition older $29.99 47,176 94% 1.4M $42M (exactly $42,444,247) Thunder Lotus
Grounded 2 · EA $29.99 21,442 82% 643k $19M (exactly $19,291,367) Obsidian Entertainment, Eidos-Montréal
The Escapists 2 older $19.99 26,452 90% 794k $16M (exactly $15,863,264) Team17, Mouldy Toof Studios
Portal Knights older $19.99 16,885 83% 507k $10M (exactly $10,125,934) Keen Games GmbH
How to Survive older $14.99 13,990 82% 420k $6.3M (exactly $6,291,303) Eko Software
How to Survive 2 older $14.99 8,641 69% 259k $3.9M (exactly $3,885,858) Eko Software
Chronicon older $13.99 8,822 94% 265k $3.7M (exactly $3,702,593) Subworld
Feed the Cups · EA older $15.99 4,708 72% 141k $2.3M (exactly $2,258,428) Vambear Games
Wild Woods · EA $14.99 1,746 78% 52k $785k (exactly $785,176) Octofox Games
Kitaria Fables older $19.99 1,253 73% 38k $751k (exactly $751,424) Twin Hearts, Secret Level Studios
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
SEDAP! A Culinary Adventure $14.99 517 70% 16k $232k (exactly $232,495) kopiforge
Keep Keepers $17.99 135 87% 4.1k $73k (exactly $72,860) Thunderrock Innovations
Vortica $14.99 93 83% 2.8k $42k (exactly $41,822) Vortical Studios
The Artifactory $19.99 24 75% 720 $14k (exactly $14,393) Berries Studios
Goldilock One: The Mists of Jakaira · EA $11.99 36 83% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,949) Shed of Ideas
Neopets - Mega Mini Games Collection - The Neopian Arcade Odyssey $9.99 38 31% 1.1k $11k (exactly $11,389) No Gravity Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.