Games › Crafting › Crafting + Hex Grid
Should I ship a Crafting Hex Grid game?
Crafting + Hex Grid
Only 12 developers shipped a Crafting Hex Grid game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Plan B: Terraform, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 23 more are announced, ×3.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $7.2k, ×11 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.5k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.6M, ×2693 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) |
|---|---|
| Median | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) |
| Top 25% | $219k (exactly $218,627) |
| Top 5% | $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 34 |
| Announced | 23 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Crafting, Hex Grid
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 90% positive over 4,784 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $1.5k. 6 in 10 of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 23 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Crafting with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Job SimulatorStrong odds
- + SportsFair
- + Turn-BasedFair
- + IdlerFair
- + SolitaireFair
- + LovecraftianPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + WesternPoor odds
- + Bullet HeavenPoor odds
- + TrainsPoor odds
Comparable games
NEO Scavenger 2014 · $2.0M 
Thea: The Awakening 2015 · $2.0M 
Plan B: Terraform 2025 · $1.7M 
In Falsus 2026 · $945k 
MoteMancer 2025 · EA · $219k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | NEO Scavenger | older | $14.99 | 4,437 89% | 133k | $2.0M (exactly $1,995,319) | Blue Bottle Games |
| | Thea: The Awakening | older | $19.99 | 3,318 87% | 100k | $2.0M (exactly $1,989,805) | MuHa Games |
| | Plan B: Terraform | $15.99 | 3,526 91% | 106k | $1.7M (exactly $1,691,422) | Gaddy Games | |
| | In Falsus | $39.99 | 788 89% | 24k | $945k (exactly $945,364) | lowiro | |
| | MoteMancer | · EA | $29.99 | 243 91% | 7.3k | $219k (exactly $218,627) | CyanAvatar Studios |
 | Himeko Sutori | older | $18.99 | 212 68% | 6.4k | $121k (exactly $120,776) | Rockwell Studios, LLC |
 | Lost Scavenger | · EA older | $14.99 | 220 51% | 6.6k | $99k (exactly $98,934) | Rockbee |
 | The Chronicles of Dragon Wing - Reborn | older | $19.99 | 158 77% | 4.7k | $95k (exactly $94,753) | Dragon Wing Studio |
 | Terroir | older | $7.99 | 341 72% | 10k | $82k (exactly $81,738) | General Interactive Co. |
 | Z Dawn | older | $9.99 | 259 72% | 7.8k | $78k (exactly $77,622) | GoldenGod Games |
 | The Dead Await | $12.99 | 108 67% | 3.2k | $42k (exactly $42,088) | Shotx | |
 | FolkOrigin | $7.99 | 36 88% | 1.1k | $8.6k (exactly $8,629) | LukaszD | |
 | Tribe Nation | $9.99 | 24 79% | 720 | $7.2k (exactly $7,193) | Random Worlds s.r.o. | |
 | Hexisle | $6.99 | 23 86% | 690 | $4.8k (exactly $4,823) | skeptile | |
 | Stranded Without A Phone | $2.99 | 24 100% | 720 | $2.2k (exactly $2,153) | Gilligames | |
 | Hexfactory | $4.99 | 10 60% | 300 | $1.5k (exactly $1,497) | Aquila Industrial | |
 | The Adventure of Fred - The traveler's dial - | $8.99 | 2 50% | 60 | $539 (exactly $539) | FredsGamesStudios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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