Should I ship a PvE Cooking game?
PvE + Cooking
Of 29 developers who shipped a PvE Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 111 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×441 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 111 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $419 (exactly $419) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.5k (exactly $1,498) |
| Top 25% | $12k (exactly $12,081) |
| Top 5% | $277k (exactly $276,767) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 74 |
| Announced | 111 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE, Cooking; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Comedy
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.
The top 10 games average 53% positive over 13,370 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 111 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | The Quinfall | $9.99 | 12,073 50% | 362k | $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) | Vawraek Technology Inc. | |
| | Never Grave: The Witch and The Curse | $16.99 | 543 72% | 16k | $277k (exactly $276,767) | Frontside 180 | |
| | HYKE:Northern Light(s) | $27.99 | 242 73% | 7.3k | $203k (exactly $203,207) | Akatsuki Games Inc., Blast Edge Games I… (Akatsuki Games Inc., Blast Edge Games Inc.) | |
| | Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) | · EA older | $23.99 | 267 72% | 8.0k | $192k (exactly $192,160) | Happy Daram Inc. |
| | Pizza Bandit | · EA | $24.99 | 185 82% | 5.6k | $139k (exactly $138,694) | JOFSOFT |
| | Lighthouse Keeper | older | $11.99 | 336 81% | 10k | $121k (exactly $120,859) | Stratera Games |
| | Katy and Bob: Safari Cafe | older | $14.99 | 193 88% | 5.8k | $87k (exactly $86,792) | Creobit, Workroom7 |
| | Katy and Bob Way Back Home | older | $14.99 | 105 81% | 3.2k | $47k (exactly $47,218) | Creobit |
| | Katy & Bob: Cake Cafe | older | $14.99 | 84 82% | 2.5k | $38k (exactly $37,775) | Workroom7 |
| | GladiEATers | · EA | $14.99 | 69 92% | 2.1k | $31k (exactly $31,029) | MilkBubblesGames |
| | Town of Zoz | $19.99 | 50 70% | 1.5k | $30k (exactly $29,985) | Studio Pixanoh | |
| | Burger Bots Inc. | $7.99 | 109 91% | 3.3k | $26k (exactly $26,127) | Normogames | |
| | Food Wagon | · EA | $12.99 | 31 77% | 930 | $12k (exactly $12,081) | Luminous Tales |
| | The OG Cake Factory | $6.99 | 51 74% | 1.5k | $11k (exactly $10,695) | Glaseeze | |
| | Lorne | · EA | $14.99 | 17 88% | 510 | $7.6k (exactly $7,645) | Lorne Studios |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.