Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Cooking

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Cooking game?

PvE + Cooking

Of 29 developers who shipped a PvE Cooking game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 111 more are announced, ×5.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $420; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×441 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 111 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 111 announced, ×5.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Cooking
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $899 → $1.8k → $4.5k → $693 → $12k → $3.0k (still earning) → $1.3k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Cooking: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $419 (exactly $419)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,081)
Top 5% $277k (exactly $276,767)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 74
Announced 111
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 19%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Cooking
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Cooking; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, RPG, Adventure
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Anime, Comedy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 53% positive over 13,370 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $420, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $420. 9 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 111 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
The Quinfall $9.99 12,073 50% 362k $3.6M (exactly $3,618,278) Vawraek Technology Inc.
Never Grave: The Witch and The Curse $16.99 543 72% 16k $277k (exactly $276,767) Frontside 180
HYKE:Northern Light(s) $27.99 242 73% 7.3k $203k (exactly $203,207) Akatsuki Games Inc., Blast Edge Games I… (Akatsuki Games Inc., Blast Edge Games Inc.)
Korea Dynasty (조선메타실록) · EA older $23.99 267 72% 8.0k $192k (exactly $192,160) Happy Daram Inc.
Pizza Bandit · EA $24.99 185 82% 5.6k $139k (exactly $138,694) JOFSOFT
Lighthouse Keeper older $11.99 336 81% 10k $121k (exactly $120,859) Stratera Games
Katy and Bob: Safari Cafe older $14.99 193 88% 5.8k $87k (exactly $86,792) Creobit, Workroom7
Katy and Bob Way Back Home older $14.99 105 81% 3.2k $47k (exactly $47,218) Creobit
Katy & Bob: Cake Cafe older $14.99 84 82% 2.5k $38k (exactly $37,775) Workroom7
GladiEATers · EA $14.99 69 92% 2.1k $31k (exactly $31,029) MilkBubblesGames
Town of Zoz $19.99 50 70% 1.5k $30k (exactly $29,985) Studio Pixanoh
Burger Bots Inc. $7.99 109 91% 3.3k $26k (exactly $26,127) Normogames
Food Wagon · EA $12.99 31 77% 930 $12k (exactly $12,081) Luminous Tales
The OG Cake Factory $6.99 51 74% 1.5k $11k (exactly $10,695) Glaseeze
Lorne · EA $14.99 17 88% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) Lorne Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.