Games › Shooter › Shooter + Conspiracy
Should I ship a Conspiracy Shooter?
Shooter + Conspiracy
Of 29 developers who shipped a Conspiracy Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 102 more are announced, ×6.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $450, ×0.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $74k, ×119 the market median. Revenue is up 410% on the market; 102 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $449 (exactly $449) |
| Top 25% | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) |
| Top 5% | $75k (exactly $74,707) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 29 |
| Released games | 105 |
| Announced | 102 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $5.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 410% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Shooter
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
- Conspiracy
- effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- Shooter; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, FPS
- Price point
- $5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Atmospheric
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.
The top 10 games average 83% positive over 1,451 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. All of the 15 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 102 games are announced against 16 developers who shipped in the last year, ×6.4 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Shooter with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + CollectathonFair
- + VampiresFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + IdlerFair
- + Match 3Fair
- + SnowFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + IncrementalFair
- + ArcadeLong shot
- + Score AttackLong shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
Comparable games
Deus Ex: Mankind Divided 2016 · $28M 
SCP: 5K 2022 · EA · $7.4M 
Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition 2007 · $2.9M 
Squirrel with a Gun 2024 · $1.9M 
Rollerdrome 2022 · $1.3M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Deus Ex: Mankind Divided | older | $29.99 | 30,709 77% | 921k | $28M (exactly $27,628,887) | Eidos Montreal, Feral Interactive (Linu… (Eidos Montreal, Feral Interactive (Linux/Mac)) |
| | SCP: 5K | · EA older | $19.99 | 12,334 80% | 370k | $7.4M (exactly $7,396,700) | Affray Interactive |
| | Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition | older | $6.99 | 13,740 94% | 412k | $2.9M (exactly $2,881,278) | Ion Storm |
| | Squirrel with a Gun | older | $19.99 | 3,112 86% | 93k | $1.9M (exactly $1,866,266) | Dee Dee Creations LLC |
| | Rollerdrome | older | $29.99 | 1,486 91% | 45k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,954) | Roll7 |
 | Alex Jones: NWO Wars | older | $17.76 | 1,745 92% | 52k | $930k (exactly $929,736) | NWO Wars Team |
 | XIII | older | $19.99 | 1,374 39% | 41k | $824k (exactly $823,988) | PlayMagic |
 | Ricochet | older | $4.99 | 4,549 82% | 136k | $681k (exactly $680,985) | Valve |
 | Agent 64: Spies Never Die | $21.64 | 863 86% | 26k | $560k (exactly $560,260) | Replicant D6 | |
 | Deus Ex: Invisible War | older | $6.99 | 2,199 57% | 66k | $461k (exactly $461,130) | Ion Storm |
 | PARKSIDE: DECAYED SOUL MANIPULATION | $13.99 | 178 87% | 5.3k | $75k (exactly $74,707) | Banana Hardsoft | |
 | The Black Ice | · EA | $14.99 | 147 77% | 4.4k | $66k (exactly $66,106) | RED CRAB GAMES, Antelus Games |
 | NEDRA | $14.99 | 76 76% | 2.3k | $34k (exactly $34,177) | Davit Andreasyan | |
 | Seth | $12.99 | 36 77% | 1.1k | $14k (exactly $14,029) | Chaotic Games | |
 | They're Alive! | $4.99 | 75 57% | 2.3k | $11k (exactly $11,228) | Orion Games | |
 | Inky Blinky Bob | $9.99 | 33 81% | 990 | $9.9k (exactly $9,890) | ELDELIC GAMES | |
 | Chimera CUSTOM XG | · EA | $19.99 | 13 100% | 390 | $7.8k (exactly $7,796) | Volok Games |
 | The Fortress of Dr. Radiaki - Fancy Edition | $5.99 | 23 82% | 690 | $4.1k (exactly $4,133) | Jordan Freeman Group, Future Visionary,… (Jordan Freeman Group, Future Visionary, Maelstorm Software) | |
 | Dino Genesis | · EA | $6.99 | 7 71% | 210 | $1.5k (exactly $1,468) | 98 REDD GAMES |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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