Do I ship it?

GamesInventory ManagementInventory Management + Conspiracy

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Conspiracy Inventory Management game?

Inventory Management + Conspiracy

Only 15 developers shipped a Conspiracy Inventory Management game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Photomaly, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $360, ×0.8 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $270k, ×570 the market median. Revenue is up 760% on the market; 30 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 760% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Inventory Management + Conspiracy
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 15
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $479 → $599 → $359 → $718 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Inventory Management + Conspiracy: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 15
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $359 (exactly $359)
Top 25% $2.6k (exactly $2,637)
Top 5% $271k (exactly $270,932)
Developers, 2 yr 15
Released games 27
Announced 30
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 760% on the market, supply 100% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Inventory Management
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Conspiracy
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Inventory Management
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 1,393 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $360, 1 in 4 over $2.6k, 1 in 20 over $270k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Inventory Management with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Job SimulatorStrong odds69 devs · median $15k · 62 announced
  2. + LGBTQ+Fair10 devs · median $17k · 13 announced
  3. + Roguelike DeckbuilderFair43 devs · median $12k · 47 announced
  4. + Artificial IntelligenceFair34 devs · median $11k · 44 announced
  5. + WargameFair21 devs · median $4.6k · 20 announced
  6. + Time ManagementFair181 devs · median $2.9k · 228 announced
  7. + DeckbuildingFair98 devs · median $2.5k · 137 announced
  8. + LogicFair70 devs · median $1.7k · 74 announced
  9. + Card GameFair65 devs · median $1.6k · 86 announced
  10. + Trading Card GameFair21 devs · median $1.5k · 28 announced
  11. + Puzzle PlatformerFair20 devs · median $1.1k · 26 announced
  12. + God GameFair16 devs · median $1.1k · 15 announced

All 164 pairs on the Inventory Management page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deus Ex: Game of the Year Edition older $6.99 13,740 94% 412k $2.9M (exactly $2,881,278) Ion Storm
Photomaly $6.99 1,292 89% 39k $271k (exactly $270,932) Revira Interactive
ECO HOLE older $9.99 223 88% 6.7k $67k (exactly $66,833) AIHASTO
Riddle of the Sphinx™ The Awakening (Enhanced Edition) older $19.99 84 83% 2.5k $50k (exactly $50,375) Old World Studios™
Family Mysteries 3: Criminal Mindset older $14.99 102 80% 3.1k $46k (exactly $45,869) Brave Giant LTD
Tortured Hearts - Or How I Saved The Universe. Again. older $24.99 30 83% 900 $22k (exactly $22,491) Teleport Games
Merchants of Rosewall $19.99 19 63% 570 $11k (exactly $11,394) Big Blue Sky Games
Abducted: The Night Hunters · EA older $14.99 20 85% 600 $9.0k (exactly $8,994) .Cat
Dystopian Pet Simulator · EA $5.99 49 93% 1.5k $8.8k (exactly $8,805) dinca.team
City Legends: The Ghost of Misty Hill Collector's Edition older $7.99 21 76% 630 $5.0k (exactly $5,034) Do Games Limited
The Greys: Human Abductions $7.99 11 72% 330 $2.6k (exactly $2,637) Branislav Banik
Diceeee $7.99 3 33% 90 $719 (exactly $719) packnrollgames
Your Price, Your Honor. $2.99 8 62% 240 $718 (exactly $718) Red Comb Studios
Survivor Story: The Apocalypse $4.99 4 100% 120 $599 (exactly $599) Victorian Studio
Aegis Protocol $5.99 2 50% 60 $359 (exactly $359) Reliq
Dead Frequency $2.35 4 75% 120 $282 (exactly $282) Reverse Revelation
Ethereal Abyss $4.99 1 0% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Playton Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.