Do I ship it?

Games › Combat Racing › Combat Racing + Wargame

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Wargame Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Wargame

Only 5 developers shipped a Wargame Combat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Niut, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 10 more are announced, ×10.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

Only 1 developer shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $59 against a market of $630. 10 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.1 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 10 announced, ×10.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Wargame
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $178 → $449 → $59 → $148
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Wargame: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $59 (exactly $59)
Top 25% $148 (exactly $148)
Top 5% $180 (exactly $180)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 10
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $3.00

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 75% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 11%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Wargame
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Wargame
Price point
$3.00 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $21.00 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 65% positive over 151 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $59, 1 in 4 over $140, 1 in 20 over $180.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 10 games are announced against 1 developer who shipped in the last year, ×10.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) 2018 · EA · $13k Witch Epoch 2022 · $9.0k Chickens Madness 2020 · $4.8k Zombie Crush Driver 2022 · $2.5k Revenge on the Streets 3 2023 · $1.8k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Witch Epoch older $24.99 12 91% 360 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Chickens Madness older $7.99 20 55% 600 $4.8k (exactly $4,794) Vikong
Zombie Crush Driver older $2.99 28 71% 840 $2.5k (exactly $2,512) ILXAM, Laush Dmitriy Sergeevich
Revenge on the Streets 3 older $4.99 12 91% 360 $1.8k (exactly $1,796) Del_Player
GALACTIC FIELD 《银河领域》 older $21.00 2 50% 60 $1.3k (exactly $1,260) Two Thousand and one entertainment stud… (Two Thousand and one entertainment studios)
RC Death Race: Multiplayer older $2.99 13 53% 390 $1.2k (exactly $1,166) Decebal Games Studio
SUBMARINES 2D older $7.99 4 100% 120 $959 (exactly $959) Daniel Martínez Martínez-Pardo
Rasant older $1.99 13 84% 390 $776 (exactly $776) Cledson Lopes Marta de Oliveira
FIRE TRUMP - Air Combat VR older $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) UG Virtual Reality Technology Co.,Ltd.
Niut $3.00 2 50% 60 $180 (exactly $180) AF Works ®
Bulletproof Tank Adventure $0.99 5 100% 150 $148 (exactly $148) HAPPYTECH
Masters of the Air $0.99 2 50% 60 $59 (exactly $59) THE POWER OF GAMES
Tank Battle Salvo $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) CANGYU CONCEPT
Jugger - the video game $9.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Knorrmal Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.