Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Platformer Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Platformer

Of 28 developers who shipped a Platformer Combat Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 38 more are announced.

Verdict: fair, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, with 3 in 10 under $150. Revenue is up 2480% on the market; 38 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 2480% on the market, 38 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $5.5k → $150 → $2.5k → $239 (still earning) → $3.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $148 (exactly $148)
Median $899 (exactly $899)
Top 25% $3.1k (exactly $3,116)
Top 5% $24k (exactly $24,068)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 89
Announced 38
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 2480% on the market, supply 150% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 21%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Platformer; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Racing, Action, 3D Platformer
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Cartoony, Cute, 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 70% positive over 716 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $3.1k, 1 in 20 over $24k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 14 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 38 games are announced against 20 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  4. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  5. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  7. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  8. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  9. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Fling to the Finish older $19.99 849 85% 25k $509k (exactly $509,145) SplitSide Games
SpeedRunners 2: King of Speed $9.99 447 55% 13k $134k (exactly $133,966) Fair Play Labs
Duck Life 9: The Flock older $9.99 190 83% 5.7k $57k (exactly $56,943) Wix Games
DriveCrazy $10.99 73 94% 2.2k $24k (exactly $24,068) TubezGames
Up N' Down older $3.99 82 79% 2.5k $9.8k (exactly $9,815) CashcowGames
Sprint City · EA $11.99 26 84% 780 $9.4k (exactly $9,352) Second Stage Studio
Code Velocity $2.99 99 100% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) STIM GAMES
Derby Heroines: Run, Bet, Win! $14.99 17 94% 510 $7.6k (exactly $7,645) SHINISE GAMES, MFC STUDIO
Rain Runner older $4.99 37 91% 1.1k $5.5k (exactly $5,539) SkyBrave
CD-RUN older $9.99 15 93% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Quack Quack Games
Animal Falling $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) WOUAFL
Extreme Forklifting 3 · EA $7.99 13 100% 390 $3.1k (exactly $3,116) DevM Games
Billies Wheelie $4.99 17 94% 510 $2.5k (exactly $2,545) M4DOOM
Vertigo Rush · EA $14.99 5 100% 150 $2.2k (exactly $2,248) Sumalab
Nirih $11.99 6 100% 180 $2.2k (exactly $2,158) ShippableGames

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.