Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Split Screen

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Split Screen Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Split Screen

Of 44 developers who shipped a Split Screen Combat Racing game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.4k, ×3.8 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $1.1k; 1 in 20 cleared $930k, ×1494 the market median. Revenue is down 10% on the market; 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 3.8 times the market baseline, revenue down 10% on the market, 57 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Split Screen
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 44
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $0 → $2.2k → $300 → $34k → $1.6k → $1.8k → $2.4k (still earning) → $419 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Split Screen: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 44
Bottom 30% $1.1k (exactly $1,078)
Median $2.4k (exactly $2,399)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $34,166)
Top 5% $938k (exactly $938,387)
Developers, 2 yr 44
Released games 123
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $10.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 10% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Split Screen
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Split Screen; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry PvP, Racing, Arcade
Price point
$10.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Colorful, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $10.99.

The top 10 games average 90% positive over 15,142 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $1.1k, median $2.4k, 1 in 4 over $34k, 1 in 20 over $930k.

3 in 10 developers made under $1.1k. 8 in 10 of the 24 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  11. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Need for Speed™ Heat older $69.99 128,933 84% 3.9M $271M (exactly $270,720,620) Ghost Games
Need for Speed™ Unbound older $69.99 49,862 61% 1.5M $105M (exactly $104,695,241) Criterion Games
Sonic Racing: CrossWorlds $69.99 11,479 93% 344k $24M (exactly $24,102,456) Sonic Team
Need for Speed™ older $29.99 25,443 69% 763k $23M (exactly $22,891,067) Ghost Games
Need for Speed™ Most Wanted older $19.99 25,197 77% 756k $15M (exactly $15,110,641) Criterion Games
Need for Speed™ Rivals older $19.99 9,265 76% 278k $5.6M (exactly $5,556,220) Criterion Games
Burnout™ Paradise Remastered older $19.99 7,348 64% 220k $4.4M (exactly $4,406,596) Stellar Entertainment, Criterion Games
GRIP: Combat Racing older $29.99 3,669 86% 110k $3.3M (exactly $3,300,999) Caged Element
Screamer $59.99 1,039 80% 31k $1.9M (exactly $1,869,888) Milestone S.r.l.
BallisticNG older $14.99 2,285 95% 69k $1.0M (exactly $1,027,564) Neognosis
The Karters 2: Turbo Charged · EA $29.99 1,043 91% 31k $938k (exactly $938,387) Pixel Edge Games
Wreckreation $39.99 360 63% 11k $432k (exactly $431,892) Three Fields Entertainment
Victory Heat Rally $19.99 599 88% 18k $359k (exactly $359,220) Skydevilpalm
Garfield Kart 2 - All You Can Drift $24.99 216 45% 6.5k $162k (exactly $161,935) Eden Games
TRANSFORMERS: Galactic Trials $39.99 93 78% 2.8k $112k (exactly $111,572) 3DClouds
Slip & Skid $12.99 141 97% 4.2k $55k (exactly $54,948) NHOGS Interactive
Moorhuhn Kart 4 $19.99 90 86% 2.7k $54k (exactly $53,973) Korion Interactive
Slopecrashers $17.99 82 93% 2.5k $44k (exactly $44,255) byteparrot

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.