Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Survival

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Racing Survival game?

Combat Racing + Survival

Only 10 developers shipped a Combat Racing Survival game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Carmageddon: Rogue Shift, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 32 more are announced, ×4.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $3.6k, ×5.7 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $360; 1 in 20 cleared $900k, ×1437 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 5.7 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 32 announced, ×4.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Survival
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 10
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $959 → $13k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Survival: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 10
Bottom 30% $356 (exactly $356)
Median $3.6k (exactly $3,588)
Top 25% $13k (exactly $12,590)
Top 5% $902k (exactly $902,174)
Developers, 2 yr 10
Released games 60
Announced 32
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 135% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 12%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Survival
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing, Survival
Price point
$7.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 7 games average 69% positive over 1,033 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $360, median $3.6k, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $900k.

3 in 10 developers made under $360. 32 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + Post-apocalypticPoor odds13 devs · median $2.7k · 50 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Carmageddon: Rogue Shift $39.99 752 62% 23k $902k (exactly $902,174) 34BigThings srl
Crashday Redline Edition older $11.99 1,528 89% 46k $550k (exactly $549,622) Moonbyte
Bloody Rally Show older $19.99 248 89% 7.4k $149k (exactly $148,726) Kodo Linija
Space Wars older $29.99 106 86% 3.2k $95k (exactly $95,368) High and Wide
CyberTaxi older $9.99 178 64% 5.3k $53k (exactly $53,347) Projects from Basement
Nautical Survival $7.99 179 97% 5.4k $43k (exactly $42,906) Idan Rooze
Tinker Racers older $4.99 194 84% 5.8k $29k (exactly $29,042) Rumbora Party Games
Wasteland Angel older $4.99 135 56% 4.1k $20k (exactly $20,210) Octane Games
J15 Jet Fighter VR (歼15舰载机) · EA older $9.99 44 47% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Magicvalley Studio
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
LivingForest $15.99 8 62% 240 $3.8k (exactly $3,838) LivingEveryday
GOVNOVOZ $2.99 40 95% 1.2k $3.6k (exactly $3,588) KaiserGames
Drift Survivors $2.99 7 85% 210 $628 (exactly $628) Kickflip Games
Curvelicious $0.99 12 91% 360 $356 (exactly $356) Filip Strelec
Deathrun $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Inonia Games
City-Racing $24.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Anton Opic
Ultra's Drive · EA $4.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Ultraedge

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.