Do I ship it?

GamesCombat RacingCombat Racing + Post-apocalyptic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Post-apocalyptic Combat Racing game?

Combat Racing + Post-apocalyptic

Only 13 developers shipped a Post-apocalyptic Combat Racing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Dust Raiders, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.7k, ×4.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $76k, ×122 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 50 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 95% on the market, 50 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat Racing + Post-apocalyptic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.6k → $2.9k → $22k → $1.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat Racing + Post-apocalyptic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.7k (exactly $2,698)
Top 25% $9.7k (exactly $9,746)
Top 5% $77k (exactly $76,752)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 47
Announced 50
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat Racing
effort 6 / 10 · low · vehicle physics plus weapons and AI drivers
Post-apocalyptic
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat Racing; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, Combat
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 76% positive over 360 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.7k, 1 in 4 over $9.7k, 1 in 20 over $76k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 50 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat Racing with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + CollectathonFair10 devs · median $2.2k · 12 announced
  2. + SandboxFair21 devs · median $1.8k · 26 announced
  3. + PlatformerFair28 devs · median $899 · 38 announced
  4. + RhythmFair10 devs · median $802 · 9 announced
  5. + ParkourFair26 devs · median $719 · 23 announced
  6. + RPGFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  7. + 2D PlatformerLong shot18 devs · median $270 · 14 announced
  8. + Beat 'em upLong shot15 devs · median $89 · 15 announced
  9. + SurvivalPoor odds10 devs · median $3.6k · 32 announced
  10. + DystopianPoor odds10 devs · median $2.7k · 22 announced
  11. + Split ScreenPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 57 announced
  12. + Local MultiplayerPoor odds44 devs · median $2.4k · 79 announced

All 79 pairs on the Combat Racing page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Zombie Driver HD older $9.99 2,770 84% 83k $830k (exactly $830,169) Exor Studios
Death Roads: Tournament older $14.99 729 80% 22k $328k (exactly $327,831) The Knights of Unity
DeathSprint 66 older $19.99 495 83% 15k $297k (exactly $296,852) Sumo Digital
Post Apocalyptic Mayhem older $9.99 773 87% 23k $232k (exactly $231,668) Steel Monkeys
Dust Raiders $15.99 160 64% 4.8k $77k (exactly $76,752) Vixa Games
Gearshifters older $24.99 85 80% 2.6k $64k (exactly $63,724) Red Phantom Games
Clutch older $9.99 125 79% 3.8k $37k (exactly $37,462) Targem Games
Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever older $19.99 62 83% 1.9k $37k (exactly $37,181) XR Games
Pest Apocalypse $9.99 75 94% 2.3k $22k (exactly $22,478) Kikimora Games
Wasteland Angel older $4.99 135 56% 4.1k $20k (exactly $20,210) Octane Games
Duneborn $11.99 35 51% 1.1k $13k (exactly $12,590) A.P Games
WATTGAMES · EA $24.99 13 84% 390 $9.7k (exactly $9,746) TripleScience Software
Road Defense Racing $3.99 36 97% 1.1k $4.3k (exactly $4,309) Minicactus Games
Gears of Glory $5.99 23 100% 690 $4.1k (exactly $4,133) Broken Tooth Studios
CARnage $14.99 6 100% 180 $2.7k (exactly $2,698) GleeMill
Anarchy Road $5.99 6 50% 180 $1.1k (exactly $1,078) Bunker Brothers LLC
Dragon Gate: Tournament $4.99 3 100% 90 $449 (exactly $449) Luftikus Games
AUTO DERBY CASINO $4.99 3 66% 90 $449 (exactly $449) numberonescientist

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.