Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Werewolves

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Werewolf Combat game?

Combat + Werewolves

Only 12 developers shipped a Werewolf Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, No Socks RPG, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 26 more are announced, ×3.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $540, ×0.9 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $85k, ×136 the market median. Revenue is flat on the market; 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.9 times the market baseline, revenue flat on the market, 26 announced, ×3.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Werewolves
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 12
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.2k → $1.5k → $0
Outcomes for Combat + Werewolves: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 12
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $539 (exactly $539)
Top 25% $12k (exactly $12,225)
Top 5% $86k (exactly $85,714)
Developers, 2 yr 12
Released games 39
Announced 26
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue flat on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 26%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Werewolves
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat
Price point
$5.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 9 games average 92% positive over 481 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $540, 1 in 4 over $12k, 1 in 20 over $85k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 26 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Necrosmith older $2.99 4,885 85% 147k $438k (exactly $438,185) Alawar
GIBZ older $5.99 1,321 88% 40k $237k (exactly $237,384) Torrunt
Estella's Nightmare: Sealed Space and a Succubus's Curse older $9.99 512 70% 15k $153k (exactly $153,446) Playmeow
No Socks RPG $9.99 286 92% 8.6k $86k (exactly $85,714) Spicyfuse
Sinister Halloween older $7.99 125 82% 3.8k $30k (exactly $29,962) Celeritas Games
The Dark World · EA older $19.99 33 54% 990 $20k (exactly $19,790) Digital Gods
Janosik 2 $8.99 70 95% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) Onix Games
Cursed Deal $7.99 51 98% 1.5k $12k (exactly $12,225) Massive Crystal Studios
Monster Showdown older $14.99 22 72% 660 $9.9k (exactly $9,893) Virtual Uppercut Studios, Yahya Danboos
Middle Evil: The Priest older $5.99 29 93% 870 $5.2k (exactly $5,211) diedemor studio
Daughter of The Void · EA $9.99 15 100% 450 $4.5k (exactly $4,496) Shaybabe
Zombies Ate My Femboy $0.99 49 87% 1.5k $1.5k (exactly $1,455) FzzyBzzy
The Curse of the Howling Woods $5.99 3 100% 90 $539 (exactly $539) Raguthra Studios, Lee Sargent
Tribe of Werewolves · EA $2.99 4 50% 120 $359 (exactly $359) Gokmen Bolat
Humans Vs Orcs $4.99 2 0% 60 $299 (exactly $299) ShakyHand
Lock. Stock. And Hungry Pumpkins. $2.99 1 0% 30 $90 (exactly $90) Cornfield Games
Light'Em Up $14.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) Tiny Launches

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.