Do I ship it?

Games › Extraction Shooter › Extraction Shooter + Combat

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Extraction Shooter?

Extraction Shooter + Combat

Of 21 developers who shipped a Combat Extraction Shooter in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $31k, ×21 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $2.6k; 1 in 20 cleared $18M, ×12594 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 47 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 20.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 47 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Extraction Shooter + Combat
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 21
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $2.0M → $7.2k → $182k → $443k (still earning) → $15k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Extraction Shooter + Combat: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 21
Bottom 30% $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Median $31k (exactly $30,786)
Top 25% $572k (exactly $572,153)
Top 5% $19M (exactly $18,865,363)
Developers, 2 yr 21
Released games 32
Announced 47
Effort 8 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

Extraction Shooter
effort 8 / 10 · low · online PvPvE sessions with persistent stash servers
Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
8 / 10 · online systems, open world
Systems
Extraction Shooter, Combat; all of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 344,828 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $2.6k, median $31k, 1 in 4 over $570k, 1 in 20 over $18M.

3 in 10 developers made under $2.6k. 4 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 13 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Extraction Shooter with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + PvPPoor odds18 devs · median $1.1M · 48 announced
  2. + Online Co-OpPoor odds29 devs · median $443k · 70 announced
  3. + FPSPoor odds29 devs · median $219k · 57 announced
  4. + PvEPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  5. + Open WorldPoor odds19 devs · median $101k · 37 announced
  6. + Sci-fiPoor odds26 devs · median $82k · 43 announced
  7. + Co-opPoor odds25 devs · median $82k · 49 announced
  8. + ExplorationPoor odds23 devs · median $82k · 61 announced
  9. + LootPoor odds26 devs · median $81k · 60 announced
  10. + Looter ShooterPoor odds31 devs · median $71k · 73 announced
  11. + ShooterPoor odds51 devs · median $65k · 105 announced
  12. + SurvivalPoor odds41 devs · median $65k · 79 announced

All 16 pairs on the Extraction Shooter page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

ARC Raiders 2025 · $359M Far Far West 2026 · EA · $19M Marauders 2022 · EA · $12M Ghosts of Tabor 2023 · EA · $6.9M Incursion Red River 2024 · EA · $5.5M
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
ARC Raiders $39.99 299,346 82% 9.0M $359M (exactly $359,125,396) Embark Studios
Far Far West · EA $19.99 31,458 95% 944k $19M (exactly $18,865,363) Evil Raptor
Marauders · EA older $29.99 13,505 68% 405k $12M (exactly $12,150,448) Small Impact Games
Ghosts of Tabor · EA older $24.99 9,140 70% 274k $6.9M (exactly $6,852,258) Combat Waffle Studios
Incursion Red River · EA older $21.99 8,300 76% 249k $5.5M (exactly $5,475,510) Games Of Tomorrow GmbH
Contractors Showdown : ExfilZone older $19.99 3,353 68% 101k $2.0M (exactly $2,010,794) Caveman Studio
Mycopunk · EA $14.99 4,081 88% 122k $1.8M (exactly $1,835,226) Pigeons at Play
Level Zero: Extraction $19.99 2,446 50% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,466,866) Doghowl Games
Lost Rift · EA $24.99 1,465 67% 44k $1.1M (exactly $1,098,310) People Can Fly
HOLE $4.99 3,822 93% 115k $572k (exactly $572,153) NEGAFISH
Cargo Hunters · EA $19.99 739 82% 22k $443k (exactly $443,178) Order Of Meta
Darkblade Ascent $10.99 551 80% 17k $182k (exactly $181,665) PST Games
C.A.S.T. (CHERNOZEM ANOMALY STRIKE TEAM) $6.99 777 87% 23k $163k (exactly $162,937) BRAIN DOES (NOT) WORK
Ghosts of Tabor : LEGACY $14.99 143 65% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Combat Waffle Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.