Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Transhumanism

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Transhumanist Combat game?

Combat + Transhumanism

Only 13 developers shipped a Transhumanist Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Daemon X Machina: Titanic Scion, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 50 more are announced, ×5.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $8.1k, ×13 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $3.8M, ×6145 the market median. Revenue is down 100% on the market; 50 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 12.9 times the market baseline, revenue down 100% on the market, 50 announced, ×5.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Transhumanism
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 13
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $13k → $104k → $2.1k → $2.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Transhumanism: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 13
Bottom 30% $450 (exactly $450)
Median $8.1k (exactly $8,092)
Top 25% $67k (exactly $66,723)
Top 5% $3.9M (exactly $3,859,249)
Developers, 2 yr 13
Released games 33
Announced 50
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 100% on the market, supply 125% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 18%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Transhumanism
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, PvE, Character Customization
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $69.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $69.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 72% positive over 3,295 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $8.1k, 1 in 4 over $66k, 1 in 20 over $3.8M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 4 in 10 of the 5 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 50 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Daemon X Machina: Titanic Scion $69.99 1,838 63% 55k $3.9M (exactly $3,859,249) Marvelous Inc.
Clone Drone in the Hyperdome $19.99 1,048 91% 31k $628k (exactly $628,486) Doborog Games
USAC: Code Breach older $14.99 1,067 91% 32k $480k (exactly $479,830) Questions Factory
Disintegration older $29.99 210 60% 6.3k $189k (exactly $188,937) V1 Interactive
Glitchpunk $19.99 174 47% 5.2k $104k (exactly $104,348) Dark Lord
HELL GALAXY $24.99 89 74% 2.7k $67k (exactly $66,723) Italian Games Factory
Apex Heroines older $19.99 91 87% 2.7k $55k (exactly $54,573) XIAOXIAO STUDIO
War of the Human Tanks - ALTeR older $12.99 80 95% 2.4k $31k (exactly $31,176) Yakiniku Banzai
Super Adventure Hand older $12.99 75 96% 2.3k $29k (exactly $29,228) Devm Games
Saga of Sins older $14.99 47 76% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Bonus Level Entertainment
OverRider · EA $9.99 50 82% 1.5k $15k (exactly $14,985) Tension Meow
Camelot 10000CE $7.99 47 93% 1.4k $11k (exactly $11,266) Miziziziz
Brotherhood $9.99 27 96% 810 $8.1k (exactly $8,092) FatCatGames
Posthuman: Guardians vs PSION $6.99 14 42% 420 $2.9k (exactly $2,936) Choice of Games
Goddess Scroll - Brave Star $9.99 7 14% 210 $2.1k (exactly $2,098) Revenge Red Eyes
Charge! $15.00 1 100% 30 $450 (exactly $450) Honor Games®

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.