Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Time Manipulation

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Time Manipulation game?

Combat + Time Manipulation

Of 39 developers who shipped a Combat Time Manipulation game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 88 more are announced, ×4.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $750, ×1.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $210; 1 in 20 cleared $170k, ×286 the market median. Revenue is up 200% on the market; 88 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.2 times the market baseline, revenue up 200% on the market, 88 announced, ×4.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Time Manipulation
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 39
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $90 → $2.9k → $0 → $748 → $2.7k → $599 (still earning) → $3.2k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Time Manipulation: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 39
Bottom 30% $210 (exactly $210)
Median $748 (exactly $748)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 5% $180k (exactly $179,910)
Developers, 2 yr 39
Released games 106
Announced 88
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 200% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Time Manipulation
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Time Manipulation; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Action-Adventure
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 87% positive over 1,321 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $210, median $750, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $170k.

3 in 10 developers made under $210. 9 in 10 of the 21 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 88 games are announced against 21 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SUPERHOT VR older $24.99 7,978 82% 239k $6.0M (exactly $5,981,107) SUPERHOT Team
The Legend of Heroes: Trails through Daybreak II $59.99 669 83% 20k $1.2M (exactly $1,203,999) Nihon Falcom, PH3 GmbH
CONVERGENCE: A League of Legends Story™ older $29.99 1,048 87% 31k $943k (exactly $942,886) Double Stallion
Advent NEON® $19.99 300 98% 9.0k $180k (exactly $179,910) CryoGX
Magic Research 2 older $5.99 610 92% 18k $110k (exactly $109,617) Maticolotto
Lysfanga: The Time Shift Warrior older $19.99 155 73% 4.7k $93k (exactly $92,954) Sand Door Studio
Titans of the Past $24.99 108 83% 3.2k $81k (exactly $80,968) Devil's Dozen Games
XEL older $14.99 143 48% 4.3k $64k (exactly $64,307) Tiny Roar
Magic Research older $4.99 410 90% 12k $61k (exactly $61,377) Maticolotto
District Steel · EA older $24.99 76 93% 2.3k $57k (exactly $56,977) Barricade Studio
Otherskin $29.99 63 69% 1.9k $57k (exactly $56,681) Game Atelier
Mai: Child of Ages $14.99 34 88% 1.0k $15k (exactly $15,290) Chubby Pixel
Shadows of Soldiers $9.99 45 75% 1.4k $13k (exactly $13,486) Ghost in the Wire
Temporal Titans · EA $9.99 44 95% 1.3k $13k (exactly $13,187) Lost Tower Games
SPEEDSHOT $14.99 27 100% 810 $12k (exactly $12,142) karmacode
Panta Rhei - Guardian of Time $9.99 18 94% 540 $5.4k (exactly $5,395) Sappalot Studio, Omme Animation, Nordic… (Sappalot Studio, Omme Animation, Nordic Scoring)
HexWind $11.99 13 100% 390 $4.7k (exactly $4,676) Charm Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.