Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Solitaire

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Solitaire game?

Combat + Solitaire

Only 5 developers shipped a Combat Solitaire game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Sherman Commander, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 9 more are announced, ×2.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 5 / 10 build.

Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $3.3k against a market of $630. 9 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 5.3 times the market baseline, revenue too few recent games to read momentum, 9 announced, ×2.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Solitaire
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 5
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $90 → $179 → $742 → $899 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Solitaire: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 5
Bottom 30% $899 (exactly $899)
Median $3.3k (exactly $3,297)
Top 25% $3.8k (exactly $3,775)
Top 5% $105k (exactly $105,265)
Developers, 2 yr 5
Released games 28
Announced 9
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue too few recent games to read momentum, supply 300% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Solitaire
effort 1 / 10 · high · fixed rules, cards and a table

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Solitaire
Price point
$9.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

Fewer than 10 games in the last 2 years; sentiment and price figures use the all window.

The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 69% positive over 298 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $900, median $3.3k, 1 in 4 over $3.7k, 1 in 20 over $100k.

3 in 10 developers made under $900. 9 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Sherman Commander $29.99 117 64% 3.5k $105k (exactly $105,265) Iron Wolf Studio S.A.
Last Farewell older $14.99 52 69% 1.6k $23k (exactly $23,384) Flat Tail Studios AB
Sweep $6.99 18 77% 540 $3.8k (exactly $3,775) On.Production
JESTER TRUMP $9.99 11 100% 330 $3.3k (exactly $3,297) Playing Middle Ages
DragonClash older $14.99 7 57% 210 $3.1k (exactly $3,148) Warspider Entertainment, LLC
Deal of the Dead Final Cut older $2.99 26 73% 780 $2.3k (exactly $2,332) Snarkle Studios
Deck 'Em! older $2.99 18 88% 540 $1.6k (exactly $1,615) Frosty Pop
Casino Slot Machines older $1.99 22 45% 660 $1.3k (exactly $1,313) Boogygames Studios
Luxuriant $14.99 2 100% 60 $899 (exactly $899) Goblin Runt
Deal With Nyarlathotep older $0.99 25 80% 750 $742 (exactly $742) Neyo Studio
FINALLOOP · EA $6.99 0 0% 0 $0 (exactly $0) 地狱火炮炮

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.