Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Rome

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Roman Combat game?

Combat + Rome

Only 16 developers shipped a Roman Combat game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Roman Triumph: Survival City Builder, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 29 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.5k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $600; 1 in 20 cleared $550k, ×886 the market median. Revenue is up 225% on the market; 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 225% on the market, 29 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Rome
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $29k → $3.6k → $2.4k → $17k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Rome: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $599 (exactly $599)
Median $6.5k (exactly $6,501)
Top 25% $26k (exactly $26,445)
Top 5% $556k (exactly $556,277)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 50
Announced 29
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 225% on the market, supply 20% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Rome
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Simulation, Strategy, Management
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $29.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $29.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 84% positive over 1,255 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $600, median $6.5k, 1 in 4 over $26k, 1 in 20 over $550k.

3 in 10 developers made under $600. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 29 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
We Who Are About To Die · EA older $21.99 8,134 88% 244k $5.4M (exactly $5,366,000) Jordy Lakiere
Warlord: Britannia older $19.99 1,890 88% 57k $1.1M (exactly $1,133,433) Darkmatter Games
Roman Triumph: Survival City Builder $24.99 742 83% 22k $556k (exactly $556,277) Coreffect Interactive
Imperivm RTC - HD Edition "Great Battles of Rome" older $9.99 817 71% 25k $245k (exactly $244,855) Dinamic Software, Imperivm World
Jerez's Arena Ⅱ older $24.99 275 80% 8.3k $206k (exactly $206,168) 永恆艾莉絲工坊
Gladius | Gladiator VR Sword fighting older $14.99 286 74% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) VirtualAge
Gladiator Command · EA $9.99 241 96% 7.2k $72k (exactly $72,228) Marius Spikas
Fall of an Empire $29.99 80 67% 2.4k $72k (exactly $71,976) JG Games
Story of a Gladiator older $10.99 177 75% 5.3k $58k (exactly $58,357) Brain Seal Ltd
Asterix & Obelix Slap Them All! 2 older $24.99 73 79% 2.2k $55k (exactly $54,728) Mr. Nutz Studio
Rise of a Legend · EA $17.99 49 77% 1.5k $26k (exactly $26,445) Masquarade, Nicholas St. Germain
Explorers of Esmar · EA $15.99 35 85% 1.1k $17k (exactly $16,790) Tipri Games
Reavers of New Rome $14.99 25 96% 750 $11k (exactly $11,242) Renegade Sector Games
Tribe Nation $9.99 24 79% 720 $7.2k (exactly $7,193) Random Worlds s.r.o.
Ovidius (Blood for Love) $6.99 31 67% 930 $6.5k (exactly $6,501) Narrator Studio
Smerch Battle Arena · EA $9.99 12 91% 360 $3.6k (exactly $3,596) Smerch Games
Arrows and Antiquity $4.99 16 87% 480 $2.4k (exactly $2,395) True Neutral Studios

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.