Do I ship it?

Games › Combat › Combat + Precision Platformer

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Precision Platformer?

Combat + Precision Platformer

Of 84 developers who shipped a Combat Precision Platformer in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 161 more are announced, ×3.4 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $900, ×1.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $150; 1 in 20 cleared $53k, ×86 the market median. Revenue is up 20% on the market; 161 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 1.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 20% on the market, 161 announced, ×3.4 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Precision Platformer
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 84
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $4.2k → $776 → $2.2k → $2.7k → $898 → $899 → $599 (still earning) → $2.1k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Precision Platformer: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 84
Bottom 30% $150 (exactly $150)
Median $898 (exactly $898)
Top 25% $4.1k (exactly $4,075)
Top 5% $54k (exactly $53,964)
Developers, 2 yr 84
Released games 236
Announced 161
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 20% on the market, supply 25% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Precision Platformer
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Precision Platformer; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Platformer, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Retro
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 6,745 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $150, median $900, 1 in 4 over $4.0k, 1 in 20 over $53k.

3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 51 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 161 games are announced against 47 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.4 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Neon White 2022 · $13M Prince of Persia The Lost Crown 2024 · $6.1M MIO: Memories in Orbit 2026 · $2.6M Luna Abyss 2026 · $830k Demon Turf: Queens Edition 2021 · $519k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Neon White older $24.99 17,259 97% 518k $13M (exactly $12,939,072) Angel Matrix
Prince of Persia The Lost Crown older $29.99 6,754 84% 203k $6.1M (exactly $6,076,574) Ubisoft Montpellier
MIO: Memories in Orbit $19.99 4,300 83% 129k $2.6M (exactly $2,578,710) Douze Dixièmes
Luna Abyss $29.99 923 86% 28k $830k (exactly $830,423) Kwalee Labs
Demon Turf: Queens Edition older $29.99 577 84% 17k $519k (exactly $519,127) Fabraz
LEGO® Horizon Adventures™ $39.99 403 60% 12k $483k (exactly $483,479) Guerrilla Games, Studio Gobo
Cloudbuilt older $19.99 798 86% 24k $479k (exactly $478,561) Coilworks
Alex Kidd in Miracle World DX older $19.99 756 80% 23k $453k (exactly $453,373) Jankenteam
Lone Fungus older $19.99 751 85% 23k $450k (exactly $450,375) BASTI GAMES
Shotgun Cop Man $9.99 633 96% 19k $190k (exactly $189,710) DeadToast Entertainment
Lovish $14.99 120 85% 3.6k $54k (exactly $53,964) LABS Works
Return to Dark Castle $19.99 80 95% 2.4k $48k (exactly $47,976) Z Sculpt Entertainment
Beyond the Ice Palace 2 $19.99 77 63% 2.3k $46k (exactly $46,177) STORYBIRD Studio
Ritter & Rotwein $12.49 86 68% 2.6k $32k (exactly $32,224) Hurdy-Gurdy Games
The Prisoning: Fletcher's Quest $14.99 53 88% 1.6k $24k (exactly $23,834) Elden Pixels
Janosik 2 $8.99 70 95% 2.1k $19k (exactly $18,879) Onix Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.