Games › Combat › Combat + Outbreak Sim
Should I ship a Combat Outbreak Sim?
Combat + Outbreak Sim
Only 13 developers shipped a Combat Outbreak Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Colonies of The Remnant, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 19 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $120, ×0.2 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper, while revenue is up 840% on the market.
| Bottom 30% | $0 (exactly $0) |
|---|---|
| Median | $120 (exactly $120) |
| Top 25% | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) |
| Top 5% | $30k (exactly $29,799) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 25 |
| Announced | 19 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $6.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 840% on the market, supply 15% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Combat
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Outbreak Sim
- effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Combat, Outbreak Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Adventure, Shooter
- Price point
- $6.99 typical · top 25% priced $13.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Realistic, Third Person
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $13.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.
The top 8 games average 34% positive over 119 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $50. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 19 games are announced against 7 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds
- + 4XFair
- + TypingFair
- + VampiresFair
- + SnowFair
- + Walking SimulatorFair
- + Match 3Long shot
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + Political SimPoor odds
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Dating SimPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Colonies of The Remnant | · EA | $13.99 | 71 7% | 2.1k | $30k (exactly $29,799) | Cat Soul Studios |
| | Zombies Attack | $4.99 | 26 100% | 780 | $3.9k (exactly $3,892) | Liao Kai, LKK GAME | |
| | Resident Fear : Redistribution | older | $2.99 | 24 20% | 720 | $2.2k (exactly $2,153) | Gamesoft Studios |
| | Evil World HOPSCA | $12.99 | 4 0% | 120 | $1.6k (exactly $1,559) | XU RENYU | |
| | Bad Times at the Silver Lake | older | $4.99 | 8 12% | 240 | $1.2k (exactly $1,198) | Philip Efimov |
| | 2 Hours Later | $5.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | SevenGHON | |
| | Beastmaster | older | $5.99 | 6 16% | 180 | $1.1k (exactly $1,078) | 鱼鱼游戏 |
| | Dead Inside | · EA older | $4.99 | 7 42% | 210 | $1.0k (exactly $1,048) | Dogukan Demir |
| | Devil's Island | older | $1.99 | 16 37% | 480 | $955 (exactly $955) | Never Say Never |
| | Operation Save the Girl: Code X | older | $1.99 | 13 38% | 390 | $776 (exactly $776) | 2024-NGame |
| | Creature Menace: The Ultimate Nightmare | $6.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Blood Stain Games | |
| | PROMIZED LAND: Outer Town 2025 | $2.99 | 5 60% | 150 | $449 (exactly $449) | PotaZOM, KRAKATOA STUDIOS | |
| | Gunfire Girl: Zombie Hunt | $3.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $120 (exactly $120) | Dinosaur workshop | |
| | Autism, ADHD and Syphilis | $0.99 | 3 100% | 90 | $89 (exactly $89) | ProgenitorWorks | |
| | People and Zombies | $7.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | HUSITANG | |
| | Z Mission Breakout | $9.99 | 0 0% | 0 | $0 (exactly $0) | Gaemster |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
Your address goes to Buttondown, which sends the letter, and nowhere else. Every issue has an unsubscribe link. No tracking beyond the open count Buttondown keeps.