Do I ship it?

Games › Combat › Combat + Logic

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Logic game?

Combat + Logic

Of 64 developers who shipped a Combat Logic game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 128 more are announced, ×4.3 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $480, ×0.8 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $90; 1 in 20 cleared $47k, ×76 the market median. Revenue is up 60% on the market; 128 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 0.8 times the market baseline, revenue up 60% on the market, 128 announced, ×4.3 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Logic
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 64
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $1.8k → $1.2k → $899 → $1.1k → $90 → $999 → $300 (still earning) → $480 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Logic: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 64
Bottom 30% $90 (exactly $90)
Median $480 (exactly $480)
Top 25% $3.0k (exactly $3,045)
Top 5% $48k (exactly $47,668)
Developers, 2 yr 64
Released games 198
Announced 128
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 60% on the market, supply 10% fewer developers than the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Logic
effort 2 / 10 · high · deductive rules and grids

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Logic; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Puzzle, Strategy
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Colorful, 3D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 5,286 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $90, median $480, 1 in 4 over $3.0k, 1 in 20 over $47k.

3 in 10 developers made under $90. Nearly all of the 40 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 128 games are announced against 30 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.3 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy 2026 · $5.3M Cobalt Core 2023 · $2.4M Brickadia 2025 · EA · $761k Tech Blast 2025 · $108k Fire & Maneuver 2023 · $84k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Resonance: A Plague Tale Legacy $49.99 3,558 92% 107k $5.3M (exactly $5,335,933) Asobo Studio
Cobalt Core older $19.99 4,067 95% 122k $2.4M (exactly $2,438,980) Rocket Rat Games
Brickadia · EA $19.99 1,269 81% 38k $761k (exactly $761,019) Brickadia, LLC
Tech Blast $39.99 90 92% 2.7k $108k (exactly $107,973) Galactic Geckon
Fire & Maneuver older $9.99 281 68% 8.4k $84k (exactly $84,216) Armchair Interactive, Targon Studios
Teslagrad Remastered older $9.99 210 81% 6.3k $63k (exactly $62,937) Rain Games
Leaf's Odyssey older $15.00 114 97% 3.4k $51k (exactly $51,300) ludobloom
SkyShard: City Battler · EA $14.99 106 97% 3.2k $48k (exactly $47,668) ItsBen321
Temple of the Green Moon $14.99 94 75% 2.8k $42k (exactly $42,272) OLKON GAMES
Nurose · EA older $9.99 90 87% 2.7k $27k (exactly $26,973) Orongto
Dimwood $14.99 47 100% 1.4k $21k (exactly $21,136) Inkspun LLC
Golemworks $6.99 82 90% 2.5k $17k (exactly $17,195) evilalbert
Quarterstaff $24.99 18 94% 540 $13k (exactly $13,495) Generic Lake Monster, LLC
Realm $29.99 11 72% 330 $9.9k (exactly $9,897) Mighty Pixel Crew
Hyperstacks $19.99 11 90% 330 $6.6k (exactly $6,597) Squirrel Bytes

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.