Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Interactive Fiction

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Interactive Fiction?

Combat + Interactive Fiction

Of 40 developers who shipped a Combat Interactive Fiction in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 67 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.5k, ×2.4 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×394 the market median. Revenue is up 170% on the market; 67 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.4 times the market baseline, revenue up 170% on the market, 67 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Interactive Fiction
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 40
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $48k → $1.3k → $1.9k → $14k → $1.5k → $2.5k → $2.6k (still earning) → $2.4k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Interactive Fiction: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 40
Bottom 30% $180 (exactly $180)
Median $1.5k (exactly $1,498)
Top 25% $4.7k (exactly $4,676)
Top 5% $247k (exactly $247,460)
Developers, 2 yr 40
Released games 122
Announced 67
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.95

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 170% on the market, supply 95% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Interactive Fiction
effort 1 / 10 · high · prose plus a state machine

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Interactive Fiction; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, RPG, Action
Price point
$5.95 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 3D, Dialogue Heavy
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.95.

The top 10 games average 80% positive over 5,481 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.5k, 1 in 4 over $4.6k, 1 in 20 over $240k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 9 in 10 of the 20 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 67 games are announced against 27 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SCARLET NEXUS older $59.99 13,749 81% 412k $25M (exactly $24,744,075) BANDAI NAMCO Studios Inc.
Star Trek: Voyager - Across the Unknown $34.99 4,162 79% 125k $4.4M (exactly $4,368,851) Gamexcite
The Lord of the Rings: Gollum™ older $49.99 839 41% 25k $1.3M (exactly $1,258,248) Daedalic Entertainment
Foretales older $19.99 779 87% 23k $467k (exactly $467,166) Alkemi
Inquisitor’s Heart and Soul $12.99 635 80% 19k $247k (exactly $247,460) Whale Rock Games
The Warlock of Firetop Mountain older $19.99 352 76% 11k $211k (exactly $211,094) Tin Man Games
Serum: Toxic Survival · EA older $24.99 253 45% 7.6k $190k (exactly $189,674) Game Island
Invincible Presents: Atom Eve older $9.99 550 96% 17k $165k (exactly $164,835) Terrible Posture Games
风流公子romantic young man older $4.99 704 92% 21k $105k (exactly $105,389) Ronin SoftWork
Waifu Fighter -Family Friendly older $7.99 361 83% 11k $87k (exactly $86,532) Happy Monster Studio
Vampire Syndicate: Gangs of MoonFall · EA $19.99 111 71% 3.3k $67k (exactly $66,567) A Memory of Eternity
CyberPimp 2069 $17.99 118 87% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Miami Paradise 2 $14.99 131 94% 3.9k $59k (exactly $58,911) Entropy Digital Entertainment
Astra: Ardent Show $7.99 98 85% 2.9k $23k (exactly $23,491) Lustration Team
Cartier 06 $4.99 93 74% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,922) CowardlyKnights
Fight For Mi $6.99 57 98% 1.7k $12k (exactly $11,953) Lord Blubbee
Gordy $3.99 49 89% 1.5k $5.9k (exactly $5,865) MyGrandfather Games
Lydina and the Dungeon of Debauchery $6.99 27 55% 810 $5.7k (exactly $5,662) TyphoonCom

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.