Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Faith

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Faith Combat game?

Combat + Faith

Of 29 developers who shipped a Faith Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 52 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $6.3k, ×10 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $640k, ×1031 the market median. Revenue is up 500% on the market; 52 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 10.0 times the market baseline, revenue up 500% on the market, 52 announced, ×2.7 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Faith
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 29
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $59k → $838 → $21k → $838 (still earning) → $7.0k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Faith: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 29
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $6.3k (exactly $6,296)
Top 25% $29k (exactly $28,858)
Top 5% $648k (exactly $647,652)
Developers, 2 yr 29
Released games 61
Announced 52
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $9.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 500% on the market, supply 90% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 28%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Faith
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Action, RPG
Price point
$9.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Anime, 3D, Story Rich
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $9.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 6,441 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $6.3k, 1 in 4 over $28k, 1 in 20 over $640k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 16 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 52 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Forgive Me Father 2 $24.99 1,500 81% 45k $1.1M (exactly $1,124,550) Byte Barrel
Touhou Dystopian $9.99 2,161 97% 65k $648k (exactly $647,652) Kay Lnk
Crimson Oath $14.99 750 82% 23k $337k (exactly $337,275) Parry Frames Team
绯红编年史 ~ Chronicle of Scarlet ~ $12.99 697 88% 21k $272k (exactly $271,621) Charge Piggy Studio
Touhou: New World older $19.99 261 78% 7.8k $157k (exactly $156,522) Ankake Spa
Marisa of Liartop Mountain $14.99 286 84% 8.6k $129k (exactly $128,614) Alliance Arts, UnknownX
Marisa!ReturnTheBook! $5.99 700 90% 21k $126k (exactly $125,790) NARROW, TSUKUYOMIC
Koumajou Remilia Ⅱ: Stranger's Requiem older $29.99 66 83% 2.0k $59k (exactly $59,380) Frontier Aja, CFK Co., Ltd.
DaemonBride:ADDITIONAL GAIN $19.99 94 82% 2.8k $56k (exactly $56,372) Team Arcana, Kizawaya
东方醉游稽传~Touhou Drunken Rebellion $8.99 107 88% 3.2k $29k (exactly $28,858) 落羽社
Touhou Farming ~ Minoriko's Homestead Harvest · EA $11.99 67 95% 2.0k $24k (exactly $24,100) Studio Hexeye
Besmirch · EA $9.99 79 97% 2.4k $24k (exactly $23,676) Gangru Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.