Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Dinosaurs

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Dinosaur Combat game?

Combat + Dinosaurs

Of 28 developers who shipped a Dinosaur Combat game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 57 more are announced, ×4.1 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $2.5k, ×4.1 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $430k, ×696 the market median. Revenue is down 70% on the market; 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 4.1 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 57 announced, ×4.1 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Dinosaurs
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 28
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.0k → $9.0k → $327 → $2.5k → $1.5k → $9.6k → $299 (still earning) → $437k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Dinosaurs: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 28
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $2.5k (exactly $2,545)
Top 25% $34k (exactly $33,728)
Top 5% $437k (exactly $437,181)
Developers, 2 yr 28
Released games 88
Announced 57
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply as many developers as the period before.

Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Dinosaurs
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
Combat; 5 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action-Adventure, Physics
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $19.99 or above
Art
3 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, Third Person, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $19.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 83% positive over 4,703 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $2.5k, 1 in 4 over $33k, 1 in 20 over $430k.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 57 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.1 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Primal Carnage: Extinction older $12.99 8,283 84% 248k $3.2M (exactly $3,227,885) Circle Five Studios, Pub Games
Animal Revolt Battle Simulator older $14.99 6,571 95% 197k $3.0M (exactly $2,954,979) VDimension
Dinoblade $19.99 2,420 90% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,274) Team Spino LLC
Turok 3: Shadow of Oblivion Remastered older $29.99 567 85% 17k $510k (exactly $510,130) Nightdive Studios, Iguana Entertainment
Clawed $19.99 729 52% 22k $437k (exactly $437,181) Flatrock Games
Primal Planet $19.99 629 88% 19k $377k (exactly $377,211) Seethingswarm
Dino Trauma · EA older $12.99 378 91% 11k $147k (exactly $147,307) Phobia Interactive
Carnivores: Dinosaur Hunt older $14.99 235 63% 7.1k $106k (exactly $105,680) Digital Dreams Entertainment
Excidio The Kaiju Simulator $12.99 244 92% 7.3k $95k (exactly $95,087) TokuPop
Toy Tactics $24.99 121 91% 3.6k $91k (exactly $90,714) Kraken Empire
King of Bones $7.99 316 85% 9.5k $76k (exactly $75,745) Gluten Free Games
Primeval $14.99 75 60% 2.3k $34k (exactly $33,728) Exhibyte
Rip Current $8.99 114 85% 3.4k $31k (exactly $30,746) Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Enter… (Breaking Dimensions, Polygon Dust Entertainment)
Son and Bone $29.99 23 56% 690 $21k (exactly $20,693) TeamKill Media
Creatures Of War $14.99 32 75% 960 $14k (exactly $14,390) Chaos Entertainment

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.