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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Colony Sim?
Online Co-Op + Colony Sim
Only 13 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Colony Sim in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, StarRupture, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 47 more are announced, ×12 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 8 / 10 build.
Only 4 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $310k against a market of $1.5k. 47 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) |
|---|---|
| Median | $314k (exactly $314,048) |
| Top 25% | $4.9M (exactly $4,867,377) |
| Top 5% | $7.4M (exactly $7,396,100) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 13 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 47 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 5205% on the market, supply 55% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 9%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Colony Sim
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Colony Sim; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Base Building, Building, Co-op
- Price point
- $19.99 typical · top 25% priced $34.99 or above
- Art
- 5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, 3D, Family Friendly
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $34.99 or above; the middle game at $19.99.
The top 10 games average 79% positive over 36,730 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $8.4k. 3 in 10 of the 9 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 47 games are announced against 4 developers who shipped in the last year, ×12 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
Comparable games
Kingdom Two Crowns 2018 · $19M 
Farm Together 2018 · $11M 
ASKA 2024 · EA · $7.8M 
StarRupture 2026 · EA · $7.4M 
Sengoku Dynasty 2024 · $5.9M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Kingdom Two Crowns | older | $19.99 | 31,259 90% | 938k | $19M (exactly $18,746,022) | Fury Studios, Coatsink |
| | Farm Together | older | $19.99 | 17,647 93% | 529k | $11M (exactly $10,582,906) | Milkstone Studios |
| | ASKA | · EA older | $24.99 | 10,457 79% | 314k | $7.8M (exactly $7,839,613) | Sand Sailor Studio |
| | StarRupture | · EA | $19.99 | 12,333 80% | 370k | $7.4M (exactly $7,396,100) | Creepy Jar |
| | Sengoku Dynasty | $29.99 | 6,592 74% | 198k | $5.9M (exactly $5,930,822) | Superkami | |
 | Pioneers of Pagonia | $34.99 | 4,794 81% | 144k | $5.0M (exactly $5,032,262) | Envision Entertainment | |
 | Railroads Online | $29.99 | 5,410 75% | 162k | $4.9M (exactly $4,867,377) | Stefan Kelnberger | |
 | Per Aspera | older | $29.99 | 4,105 76% | 123k | $3.7M (exactly $3,693,268) | Tlön Industries |
 | Offworld Trading Company | older | $29.99 | 3,598 77% | 108k | $3.2M (exactly $3,237,121) | Mohawk Games |
 | Frozenheim | older | $19.99 | 3,463 70% | 104k | $2.1M (exactly $2,076,761) | Paranoid Interactive |
 | Eden Crafters | $19.99 | 2,507 85% | 75k | $1.5M (exactly $1,503,448) | Osaris Games | |
 | Survivalist: Invisible Strain | $11.99 | 4,014 87% | 120k | $1.4M (exactly $1,443,836) | Bob | |
 | Thrive: Heavy Lies The Crown | $27.99 | 374 54% | 11k | $314k (exactly $314,048) | Zugalu Entertainment | |
 | Guardians of the Sanctree | $19.99 | 284 72% | 8.5k | $170k (exactly $170,315) | HuCang Studio | |
 | Fera: The Sundered Tribes | · EA | $9.99 | 394 57% | 12k | $118k (exactly $118,082) | Massive Damage, Inc. |
 | Shop Life Simulator | · EA | $9.99 | 28 50% | 840 | $8.4k (exactly $8,392) | AIONWARE LTD |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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