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Should I ship a WWII Online Co-Op game?
Online Co-Op + World War II
Only 10 developers shipped a WWII Online Co-Op game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Aces of Thunder, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 18 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $190k, ×126 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $36k; 1 in 20 cleared $1.0M, ×696 the market median. Revenue is down 20% on the market; 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $35k (exactly $35,065) |
|---|---|
| Median | $188k (exactly $188,037) |
| Top 25% | $508k (exactly $507,946) |
| Top 5% | $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 10 |
| Released games | 52 |
| Announced | 18 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $19.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 20% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 25%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- World War II
- effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op
- Price point
- $19.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 64% positive over 4,166 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $36k. 3 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 18 games are announced against 6 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + TransportationPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + SuperheroPoor odds
Comparable games
Company of Heroes 2 2013 · $41M 
Sniper Elite 5 2022 · $37M 
Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront 2021 · $34M 
Call of Duty: World at War 2008 · $27M 
Sniper Elite 3 2014 · $19M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Company of Heroes 2 | older | $19.99 | 68,909 80% | 2.1M | $41M (exactly $41,324,727) | Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive… (Relic Entertainment, Feral Interactive (Mac), Feral Interactive (Linux)) |
| | Sniper Elite 5 | older | $49.99 | 24,818 83% | 745k | $37M (exactly $37,219,555) | Rebellion |
| | Call to Arms - Gates of Hell: Ostfront | older | $34.99 | 32,183 85% | 965k | $34M (exactly $33,782,495) | Barbedwire Studios, Digitalmindsoft |
| | Call of Duty: World at War | older | $19.99 | 45,792 92% | 1.4M | $27M (exactly $27,461,462) | Treyarch |
| | Sniper Elite 3 | older | $29.99 | 21,407 82% | 642k | $19M (exactly $19,259,878) | Rebellion |
 | Day of Infamy | older | $14.99 | 17,517 83% | 526k | $7.9M (exactly $7,877,395) | New World Interactive |
 | Men of War II | older | $44.99 | 5,614 60% | 168k | $7.6M (exactly $7,577,216) | Best Way |
 | Call of Duty®: Vanguard | older | $59.99 | 4,172 67% | 125k | $7.5M (exactly $7,508,348) | Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon… (Sledgehammer Games, Treyarch, High Moon Studios, Raven Software, Beenox, Demonware) |
 | Company of Heroes | older | $14.99 | 12,612 94% | 378k | $5.7M (exactly $5,671,616) | Relic Entertainment |
 | Call of Duty® 2 | older | $19.99 | 9,206 93% | 276k | $5.5M (exactly $5,520,838) | Infinity Ward |
 | Aces of Thunder | $29.99 | 1,159 57% | 35k | $1.0M (exactly $1,042,752) | Gaijin Entertainment | |
 | Company of Heroes 3: Final Stand | $29.99 | 1,015 49% | 30k | $913k (exactly $913,196) | Relic Entertainment | |
 | Tank Squad | $19.99 | 847 70% | 25k | $508k (exactly $507,946) | DeGenerals S.A. | |
 | 63 Days | $29.99 | 413 72% | 12k | $372k (exactly $371,576) | Destructive Creations | |
 | Scramble: Battle of Britain | · EA | $29.99 | 209 88% | 6.3k | $188k (exactly $188,037) | Slitherine Ltd. |
 | Army Troop | $14.99 | 366 80% | 11k | $165k (exactly $164,590) | Army Troop Studios | |
 | FEAR OF FAITH | · EA | $9.99 | 117 78% | 3.5k | $35k (exactly $35,065) | UNBREAKABLE ARK |
 | Totenkampf : Anime Waifus vs WW2 Zombies | $3.99 | 28 85% | 840 | $3.4k (exactly $3,352) | Kawaii Kommando | |
 | Sleepless | $5.99 | 11 54% | 330 | $2.0k (exactly $1,977) | CaRuFy, Nagodo | |
 | CAMP Z: THE AWAKENING | $4.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | FEAR NO EVIL GAMES LLC. |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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