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Should I ship an Online Co-Op Transportation game?
Online Co-Op + Transportation
Only 14 developers shipped an Online Co-Op Transportation game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, RoadCraft, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 25 more are announced, ×2.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 8 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $370k, ×246 the market's $1.5k for a 8 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $7.2k; 1 in 20 cleared $16M, ×10833 the market median. Revenue is down 95% on the market; 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year.
| Bottom 30% | $7.2k (exactly $7,191) |
|---|---|
| Median | $369k (exactly $368,916) |
| Top 25% | $797k (exactly $797,134) |
| Top 5% | $16M (exactly $16,228,342) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 14 |
| Released games | 32 |
| Announced | 25 |
| Effort | 8 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $13.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 95% on the market, supply 80% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 16%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Online Co-Op
- effort 8 / 10 · low · netcode, lobbies and state sync across machines
- Transportation
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 8 / 10 · online systems, open world
- Systems
- Online Co-Op, Transportation; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Driving, Automobile Sim, Co-op
- Price point
- $13.99 typical · top 25% priced $39.99 or above
- Art
- 8 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 3D, First-Person, Realistic
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $39.99 or above; the middle game at $13.99.
The top 10 games average 67% positive over 35,383 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $7.2k. 2 in 10 of the 6 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 25 games are announced against 9 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Online Co-Op with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Bullet HeavenStrong odds
- + Escape RoomFair
- + TypingFair
- + GamblingFair
- + Point & ClickFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + JRPGPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + World War IIPoor odds
- + City BuilderPoor odds
- + LGBTQ+Poor odds
- + SuperheroPoor odds
Comparable games
RoadCraft 2025 · $16M 
SAND: Raiders of Sophie 2026 · EA · $9.4M 
Construction Simulator 2022 · $8.0M 
SimRail - The Railway Simulator 2024 · $5.6M 
Expeditions: A MudRunner Game 2024 · $3.6M | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | RoadCraft | $39.99 | 13,527 74% | 406k | $16M (exactly $16,228,342) | Saber Interactive | |
| | SAND: Raiders of Sophie | · EA | $24.99 | 12,485 49% | 375k | $9.4M (exactly $9,360,004) | Hologryph, TowerHaus |
| | Construction Simulator | older | $24.99 | 10,606 82% | 318k | $8.0M (exactly $7,951,318) | weltenbauer. Software Entwicklung GmbH |
| | SimRail - The Railway Simulator | $34.99 | 5,307 85% | 159k | $5.6M (exactly $5,570,758) | SimRail S.A. | |
| | Expeditions: A MudRunner Game | older | $39.99 | 3,000 59% | 90k | $3.6M (exactly $3,599,100) | Saber Interactive |
 | Ships At Sea | · EA older | $24.99 | 2,479 69% | 74k | $1.9M (exactly $1,858,506) | Misc Games |
 | NIMBY Rails | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,228 89% | 67k | $1.3M (exactly $1,336,132) | Weird and Wry |
 | Bus Bound | $29.99 | 886 72% | 27k | $797k (exactly $797,134) | stillalive studios | |
 | Ore Factory Squad ⛏️ | $12.99 | 1,646 87% | 49k | $641k (exactly $641,446) | threeW | |
 | Bus Simulator 27 | $29.99 | 489 59% | 15k | $440k (exactly $439,953) | Simteract | |
 | Fuel Harvest Together | $13.99 | 879 69% | 26k | $369k (exactly $368,916) | Say2Sun | |
 | Jeepney Simulator 2 | $8.99 | 119 91% | 3.6k | $32k (exactly $32,094) | Spacezero Interactive | |
 | Metrogether Train Simulator | $17.99 | 15 73% | 450 | $8.1k (exactly $8,095) | camelCase Games | |
 | Rail Estate | $7.99 | 30 93% | 900 | $7.2k (exactly $7,191) | Holonautic |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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