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Should I ship a Choose Your Own Adventure Sailing game?
Sailing + Choose Your Own Adventure
Only 12 developers shipped a Choose Your Own Adventure Sailing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Rise of Piracy, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 24 more are announced, ×4.8 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $240k, ×397 the market median. Revenue is up 1335% on the market; 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $450 (exactly $450) |
|---|---|
| Median | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) |
| Top 25% | $15k (exactly $14,685) |
| Top 5% | $249k (exactly $249,444) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 12 |
| Released games | 39 |
| Announced | 24 |
| Effort | 5 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $9.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 1335% on the market, supply 30% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
- Sailing
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
- Choose Your Own Adventure
- effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state
What it takes
- Effort
- 5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
- Systems
- Sailing, Choose Your Own Adventure
- Price point
- $9.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 75% positive over 773 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $450. All of the 7 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 24 games are announced against 5 developers who shipped in the last year, ×4.8 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
Sailing with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + UnderwaterFair
- + Base BuildingPoor odds
- + Immersive SimPoor odds
- + BuildingPoor odds
- + SandboxPoor odds
- + Co-opPoor odds
- + Procedural GenerationPoor odds
- + CraftingPoor odds
- + Open WorldPoor odds
- + Action RPGPoor odds
- + Resource ManagementPoor odds
- + SurvivalPoor odds
Comparable games
Pixel Piracy 2014 · $2.6M 
Sid Meier's Pirates! 2005 · $1.9M 
Sailwind 2021 · EA · $1.4M 
Windward 2015 · $800k 
Blood and Gold: Caribbean! 2015 · $712k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Pixel Piracy | older | $14.99 | 5,713 65% | 171k | $2.6M (exactly $2,569,136) | Vitali Kirpu |
| | Sid Meier's Pirates! | older | $9.99 | 6,198 94% | 186k | $1.9M (exactly $1,857,541) | Firaxis Games |
| | Sailwind | · EA older | $19.99 | 2,312 89% | 69k | $1.4M (exactly $1,386,506) | Raw Lion Workshop |
| | Windward | older | $9.99 | 2,668 79% | 80k | $800k (exactly $799,600) | Tasharen Entertainment Inc. |
| | Blood and Gold: Caribbean! | older | $19.99 | 1,188 59% | 36k | $712k (exactly $712,444) | Snowbird Games |
 | Corsairs Legacy - Pirate Action RPG & Sea Battles | · EA older | $19.99 | 1,094 74% | 33k | $656k (exactly $656,072) | Mauris, Tech-5 UG |
 | Nantucket | older | $17.99 | 782 78% | 23k | $422k (exactly $422,045) | Picaresque Games |
 | Rise of Piracy | · EA | $15.99 | 520 77% | 16k | $249k (exactly $249,444) | IrishJohnGames |
 | Sail the Seas | $19.99 | 140 76% | 4.2k | $84k (exactly $83,958) | Viking Game Studio | |
 | Burly Men at Sea | older | $9.99 | 198 70% | 5.9k | $59k (exactly $59,341) | Brain&Brain |
 | Void Sails | $9.99 | 49 69% | 1.5k | $15k (exactly $14,685) | Ticking Clock Games | |
 | Herald: The Interactive Period Drama – Complete Edition | $19.99 | 23 78% | 690 | $14k (exactly $13,793) | Wispfire | |
 | Coastal Summit Sports: College Athletics 27 | $9.99 | 12 25% | 360 | $3.6k (exactly $3,596) | Coastal Summit Sports | |
 | Samurai's Odyssey | · EA | $7.99 | 6 66% | 180 | $1.4k (exactly $1,438) | CODEUM GAMES, 11Gen |
 | DEEPLY | · EA | $2.99 | 14 35% | 420 | $1.3k (exactly $1,256) | TWEN |
 | Exploration | $6.99 | 3 66% | 90 | $629 (exactly $629) | Software 2000 | |
 | DarkShine | · EA | $3.00 | 5 100% | 150 | $450 (exactly $450) | DScorp |
 | Fireside Friends | $9.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $300 (exactly $300) | KODgames |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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