Do I ship it?

GamesInvestigationInvestigation + Choose Your Own Adventure

Specimen · observed

Should I ship an Investigation Choose Your Own Adventure game?

Investigation + Choose Your Own Adventure

Of 158 developers who shipped an Investigation Choose Your Own Adventure game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 346 more are announced, ×3.6 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.2k, ×2.5 the market's $480 for a 3 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $390; 1 in 20 cleared $320k, ×678 the market median. Revenue is down 60% on the market; 346 games are announced against 96 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 60% on the market, 346 announced, ×3.6 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Investigation + Choose Your Own Adventure
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 158
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $9.6k → $5.8k → $7.5k → $3.1k → $2.3k → $1.1k → $1.1k (still earning) → $359 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Investigation + Choose Your Own Adventure: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 158
Bottom 30% $390 (exactly $390)
Median $1.2k (exactly $1,199)
Top 25% $7.9k (exactly $7,913)
Top 5% $322k (exactly $321,985)
Developers, 2 yr 158
Released games 471
Announced 346
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $7.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 60% on the market, supply 50% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Investigation
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Choose Your Own Adventure
effort 2 / 10 · high · branching text with light state

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Investigation, Choose Your Own Adventure; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Adventure, Visual Novel, Choices Matter
Price point
$7.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Story Rich, 2D, Atmospheric
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $7.99.

The top 10 games average 94% positive over 40,425 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $390, median $1.2k, 1 in 4 over $7.9k, 1 in 20 over $320k.

3 in 10 developers made under $390. 8 in 10 of the 74 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 346 games are announced against 96 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.6 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Investigation with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Escape RoomFair61 devs · median $2.1k · 50 announced
  2. + IdlerFair15 devs · median $898 · 16 announced
  3. + TriviaLong shot8 devs · median $215 · 9 announced
  4. + LGBTQ+Poor odds42 devs · median $39k · 70 announced
  5. + JRPGPoor odds16 devs · median $12k · 27 announced
  6. + HistoricalPoor odds64 devs · median $9.0k · 121 announced
  7. + RomancePoor odds62 devs · median $9.0k · 101 announced
  8. + GothicPoor odds26 devs · median $8.1k · 54 announced
  9. + LovecraftianPoor odds56 devs · median $7.2k · 104 announced
  10. + Dating SimPoor odds37 devs · median $6.6k · 50 announced
  11. + Card GamePoor odds14 devs · median $6.6k · 34 announced
  12. + SciencePoor odds21 devs · median $5.9k · 36 announced

All 134 pairs on the Investigation page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Magical Girl Witch Trials $29.99 29,869 96% 896k $27M (exactly $26,873,139) Acacia, Re,AER
Pentiment older $19.99 9,231 95% 277k $5.5M (exactly $5,535,831) Obsidian Entertainment
The Casting of Frank Stone™ older $29.99 5,580 62% 167k $5.0M (exactly $5,020,326) Supermassive Games
Apollo Justice: Ace Attorney Trilogy older $49.99 3,261 88% 98k $4.9M (exactly $4,890,522) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES - nirvanA Initiative older $39.99 3,571 86% 107k $4.3M (exactly $4,284,129) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Ace Attorney Investigations Collection older $39.99 3,401 96% 102k $4.1M (exactly $4,080,180) CAPCOM Co., Ltd.
The Operator older $13.99 8,515 91% 255k $3.6M (exactly $3,573,746) Bureau 81
Far Away older $12.99 7,598 94% 228k $3.0M (exactly $2,960,941) Gratesca
BURIED STARS older $39.99 2,117 83% 64k $2.5M (exactly $2,539,765) LINE Games Corporation
Her Story older $9.99 8,367 89% 251k $2.5M (exactly $2,507,590) Sam Barlow
Beholder: Conductor $13.99 4,532 91% 136k $1.9M (exactly $1,902,080) Alawar
Kindergarten 3 $19.99 1,774 94% 53k $1.1M (exactly $1,063,868) Con Man Games, Sean Young
No Sleep For Kaname Date - From AI: THE SOMNIUM FILES $39.99 835 79% 25k $1.0M (exactly $1,001,750) Spike Chunsoft Co., Ltd.
Staffer Retro : A Supernatural Mystery Quest $24.99 922 89% 28k $691k (exactly $691,223) Team Tetrapod
Best Served Cold $17.99 671 87% 20k $362k (exactly $362,139) Rogueside
Stellar Code $24.98 448 97% 13k $336k (exactly $335,731) Fragaria
Confidential Killings - A Detective Game $14.99 716 76% 21k $322k (exactly $321,985) BRANE, Lorenzo Boni
Taboo University Book One $14.99 332 79% 10k $149k (exactly $149,300) ViNovella Games
Burden Street Station $14.99 326 97% 9.8k $147k (exactly $146,602) IODINE

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.