Do I ship it?

GamesMatch 3Match 3 + Cats

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Cat Match 3?

Match 3 + Cats

Of 23 developers who shipped a Cat Match 3 in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 11 more are announced.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 2 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300, ×2.5 the market's $120 for a 2 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $50; 1 in 20 cleared $3.1k, ×26 the market median. Revenue is down 85% on the market; 11 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 11 announced, ×0.8 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Match 3 + Cats
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 23
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.8k → $5.7k → $1.2k → $119 → $802 → $359 (still earning) → $0 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Match 3 + Cats: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 23
Bottom 30% $0 (exactly $0)
Median $298 (exactly $298)
Top 25% $1.2k (exactly $1,197)
Top 5% $3.1k (exactly $3,140)
Developers, 2 yr 23
Released games 70
Announced 11
Effort 2 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $2.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 40% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 10%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Match 3
effort 2 / 10 · high · grid matching rules and cascades
Cats
effort 2 / 10 · high · effort 2 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
2 / 10 · static 2D art, simple logic
Systems
Match 3; 3 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Puzzle, Point & Click
Price point
$2.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
7 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Cute, Family Friendly
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $2.99.

The top 10 games average 88% positive over 180 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $1.1k, 1 in 20 over $3.1k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 9 in 10 of the 17 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 11 games are announced against 14 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Match 3 with a different setting or mood, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Interactive FictionFair12 devs · median $4.8k · 7 announced
  2. + RomanceFair25 devs · median $1.3k · 30 announced
  3. + LGBTQ+Fair13 devs · median $1.2k · 3 announced
  4. + DemonsFair9 devs · median $779 · 4 announced
  5. + Time ManagementFair12 devs · median $748 · 7 announced
  6. + ShooterFair15 devs · median $719 · 5 announced
  7. + MagicFair35 devs · median $718 · 36 announced
  8. + Tower DefenseFair9 devs · median $599 · 9 announced
  9. + Dark FantasyFair14 devs · median $539 · 16 announced
  10. + PvPLong shot21 devs · median $505 · 29 announced
  11. + CombatLong shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  12. + DogsLong shot12 devs · median $90 · 4 announced

All 75 pairs on the Match 3 page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Miss Neko 3 older $2.99 4,470 92% 134k $401k (exactly $400,959) Double W
Furry Shades of Gay 2: A Shade Gayer older $9.99 738 96% 22k $221k (exactly $221,179) Furlough Games
Sex and the Furry Titty 2: Sins of the City older $9.99 708 91% 21k $212k (exactly $212,188) Furlough Games
Miss Neko 2 older $1.99 2,608 91% 78k $156k (exactly $155,698) Double W
Furry Shades of Gay 3: Still Gayer older $9.99 403 95% 12k $121k (exactly $120,779) Furlough Games
Catgirls From My Sweet Dream older $4.99 353 88% 11k $53k (exactly $52,844) CUTE ANIME GIRLS
Cats on Duty older $9.99 142 90% 4.3k $43k (exactly $42,557) Prikol Team
Furry Reich 🐺 older $3.99 189 77% 5.7k $23k (exactly $22,623) Furry Dreams Lab
Roguematch : The Extraplanar Invasion $14.99 33 84% 990 $15k (exactly $14,840) Starstruck Games
Sparkles & Gems older $14.99 29 96% 870 $13k (exactly $13,041) resnijars
Chowdown Kitty $2.99 35 74% 1.1k $3.1k (exactly $3,140) Lunar Peace
Toffee Cats $1.99 39 100% 1.2k $2.3k (exactly $2,328) traint
Jixo: The Season of Joy Collector's Edition $9.99 5 80% 150 $1.5k (exactly $1,498) MixoGames Ltd.
Suddenly Meow Christmas $9.99 4 100% 120 $1.2k (exactly $1,199) IKIGames
Munchy Cat $3.99 10 70% 300 $1.2k (exactly $1,197) Blueberry Studio
Home for Friends: Beloved Pets Collector's Edition $8.99 4 75% 120 $1.1k (exactly $1,079) Do Games Limited
CatMelon - Suika Game $2.99 12 100% 360 $1.1k (exactly $1,076) Climbing Goat Games
Professional Cats $2.99 11 100% 330 $987 (exactly $987) Rebelião Studio
Hentai Furry Foxy $0.99 27 92% 810 $802 (exactly $802) Cyber Keks

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.