Do I ship it?

Games › Traditional Roguelike › Traditional Roguelike + Card Game

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Card Game Traditional Roguelike?

Traditional Roguelike + Card Game

Of 52 developers who shipped a Card Game Traditional Roguelike in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 3 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $450 over 4, against a market of $480 for a 3 / 10 build. 41 developers shipped in the last year and 79 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.6 times the market baseline, revenue down 70% on the market, 79 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Traditional Roguelike + Card Game
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 52
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $3.7k → $1.1k → $299 → $1.3k (still earning) → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Traditional Roguelike + Card Game: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 52
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $299 (exactly $299)
Top 25% $2.7k (exactly $2,726)
Top 5% $35k (exactly $34,783)
Developers, 2 yr 52
Released games 75
Announced 79
Effort 3 / 10
AI-buildability High
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 275% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 7%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is high: the lowest rating among its tags.

Traditional Roguelike
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band
Card Game
effort 2 / 10 · high · rules engine and card data

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
3 / 10 · small 2D action, light systems
Systems
Traditional Roguelike, Card Game; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Roguelike, Strategy, Card Battler
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $9.99 or above
Art
6 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $9.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 75% positive over 1,071 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $300, 1 in 4 over $2.7k, 1 in 20 over $34k.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 12 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 41 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Traditional Roguelike with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Female ProtagonistFair15 devs · median $2.9k · 19 announced
  2. + Procedural GenerationFair71 devs · median $2.0k · 93 announced
  3. + CRPGFair12 devs · median $1.9k · 13 announced
  4. + Perma DeathFair49 devs · median $1.8k · 55 announced
  5. + Turn-Based CombatFair81 devs · median $1.4k · 107 announced
  6. + Sci-fiFair26 devs · median $1.4k · 23 announced
  7. + TacticalFair38 devs · median $987 · 57 announced
  8. + FantasyFair99 devs · median $898 · 125 announced
  9. + Turn-Based StrategyFair63 devs · median $779 · 101 announced
  10. + Turn-Based TacticsFair78 devs · median $629 · 95 announced
  11. + RoguelikeFair247 devs · median $599 · 314 announced
  12. + StrategyFair152 devs · median $599 · 207 announced

All 54 pairs on the Traditional Roguelike page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Prime of Flames 2022 · $277k Tavern of Gods 2021 · $232k Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers 2025 · $163k Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? 2023 · $64k Right and Down 2022 · $60k
Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Prime of Flames older $9.99 923 84% 28k $277k (exactly $276,623) RAYKA STUDIO
Tavern of Gods older $9.99 775 77% 23k $232k (exactly $232,268) Element Studio
Kādomon: Hyper Auto Battlers $9.99 543 65% 16k $163k (exactly $162,737) Dino Rocket
Is It Wrong to Repay the Debt in a Dungeon? older $17.99 118 79% 3.5k $64k (exactly $63,685) Atelier Wanko
Right and Down older $9.99 200 80% 6.0k $60k (exactly $59,940) mc2games
Infinite Cards $15.99 96 93% 2.9k $46k (exactly $46,051) Tubby Turtle Studios
XenoWorld ~The Rondeau of Astra~ older $10.99 112 75% 3.4k $37k (exactly $36,926) IMaiIna_, INA
Dragon Front: Adventures $19.99 58 89% 1.7k $35k (exactly $34,783) High Voltage Software, Inc.
Bearly Brave $9.99 66 84% 2.0k $20k (exactly $19,780) Barbaric Games
Calamity Eliminator · EA older $7.99 79 73% 2.4k $19k (exactly $18,936) White Knight
It's time, Your Majesty $6.99 77 64% 2.3k $16k (exactly $16,147) String studio
KUNKUN League $2.99 123 98% 3.7k $11k (exactly $11,033) Seal
Boardlike · EA $12.99 27 70% 810 $11k (exactly $10,522) Bozz
鸭鸭大冒险 (Duck Duck Adventure) $8.99 29 93% 870 $7.8k (exactly $7,821) 清友工作室
Poker TD $9.99 19 63% 570 $5.7k (exactly $5,694) ViralCloud
Battle Of The Abyss $4.99 33 93% 990 $4.9k (exactly $4,940) 1029studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.