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Should I ship a PvE Bullet Time game?
PvE + Bullet Time
Of 70 developers who shipped a PvE Bullet Time game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 118 more are announced, ×2.7 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
The middle developer here made $300 in the last 2 years and $360 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 44 developers shipped in the last year and 118 games are announced.
| Bottom 30% | $150 (exactly $150) |
|---|---|
| Median | $297 (exactly $297) |
| Top 25% | $2.2k (exactly $2,155) |
| Top 5% | $94k (exactly $94,406) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 70 |
| Released games | 187 |
| Announced | 118 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Low |
| Typical price | $4.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 70% on the market, supply 70% more developers than the period before.
Free games: 20%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.
- PvE
- effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
- Bullet Time
- effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- PvE, Bullet Time; 6 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Action Roguelike, Bullet Hell
- Price point
- $4.99 typical · top 25% priced $14.99 or above
- Art
- 4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Stylized
Why players buy here
The top 25% priced at $14.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.
The top 10 games average 51% positive over 18,682 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $150. 9 in 10 of the 34 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 118 games are announced against 44 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.7 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + Dating SimFair
- + IdlerFair
- + MinigamesFair
- + TypingFair
- + Extraction ShooterPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + HeistPoor odds
- + MMORPGPoor odds
- + Real-TimePoor odds
- + NavalPoor odds
- + SpaceshipsPoor odds
- + MarsPoor odds
Comparable games
| Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Killing Floor 3 | $39.99 | 16,493 46% | 495k | $20M (exactly $19,786,652) | Tripwire Interactive | |
| | Warhammer 40,000: Battle Sister | older | $19.99 | 596 70% | 18k | $357k (exactly $357,421) | Soul Assembly Ltd |
| | RAM: Random Access Mayhem | $14.99 | 611 97% | 18k | $275k (exactly $274,767) | Xylem Studios | |
| | Jackal | $14.99 | 596 88% | 18k | $268k (exactly $268,021) | Transhuman Design | |
| | Bulletstorm VR | older | $29.99 | 152 48% | 4.6k | $137k (exactly $136,754) | Incuvo |
| | Maze Mice | $9.99 | 315 88% | 9.5k | $94k (exactly $94,406) | TrampolineTales | |
| | UNYIELDER | $24.99 | 117 62% | 3.5k | $88k (exactly $87,715) | TrueWorld Studios | |
| | Plastic Battlegrounds | · EA | $9.99 | 281 89% | 8.4k | $84k (exactly $84,216) | Simulated Minds |
| | Oedo Trigger!! | older | $24.99 | 52 92% | 1.6k | $39k (exactly $38,984) | CQC Software |
| | Zombieland VR: Headshot Fever | older | $19.99 | 62 83% | 1.9k | $37k (exactly $37,181) | XR Games |
| | SignaNota | $9.99 | 90 94% | 2.7k | $27k (exactly $26,973) | IvoryHand | |
| | Time Snatcher Handy | $9.99 | 88 96% | 2.6k | $26k (exactly $26,374) | PulleyBun, ClockworkCats | |
| | Gunstoppable | $12.49 | 58 81% | 1.7k | $22k (exactly $21,733) | CAGE Studios | |
| | Decks of Dexterity | $14.99 | 33 100% | 990 | $15k (exactly $14,840) | Coded Games |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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