Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Bullet Heaven

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Bullet Heaven?

PvE + Bullet Heaven

Of 118 developers who shipped a PvE Bullet Heaven in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 248 more are announced, ×2.5 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.4k, ×2.3 the market's $630 for a 6 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $180; 1 in 20 cleared $290k, ×472 the market median. Revenue is down 65% on the market; 248 games are announced against 101 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.3 times the market baseline, revenue down 65% on the market, 248 announced, ×2.5 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Bullet Heaven
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 118
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $8.4k → $3.1k → $5.4k → $5.3k → $22k → $3.3k (still earning) → $239 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Bullet Heaven: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 118
Bottom 30% $179 (exactly $179)
Median $1.4k (exactly $1,436)
Top 25% $22k (exactly $21,856)
Top 5% $296k (exactly $296,352)
Developers, 2 yr 118
Released games 140
Announced 248
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 65% on the market, supply 495% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 4%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Bullet Heaven
effort 3 / 10 · high · effort 3 sits in the high band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Bullet Heaven; 8 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Roguelite, Action Roguelike
Price point
$4.99 typical · top 25% priced $11.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with Top-Down, 2D, Pixel Graphics
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $11.99 or above; the middle game at $4.99.

The top 10 games average 86% positive over 62,231 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $180, median $1.4k, 1 in 4 over $21k, 1 in 20 over $290k.

3 in 10 developers made under $180. 7 in 10 of the 18 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 248 games are announced against 101 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.5 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Deep Rock Galactic: Survivor $12.99 46,354 86% 1.4M $18M (exactly $18,064,154) Funday Games
Rogue: Genesia $14.99 8,111 90% 243k $3.6M (exactly $3,647,517) Ouadi Huard
TerraTech Legion $9.99 2,109 81% 63k $632k (exactly $632,067) Payload Studios
Funguys Swarm $9.99 1,114 89% 33k $334k (exactly $333,866) Stairway Games
Vital Shell $5.99 1,752 96% 53k $315k (exactly $314,834) MarvinWizard
RIFTSTORM · EA $14.99 659 70% 20k $296k (exactly $296,352) Confiction Labs, Agate
Nomad Survival older $4.99 1,517 87% 46k $227k (exactly $227,095) The Fox Knocks
Artifact Seeker: Resurrection older $8.99 725 79% 22k $196k (exactly $195,532) Lynkpin Game
Pebble Knights · EA $9.99 479 76% 14k $144k (exactly $143,556) 51% Games
Trials Survivors · EA $9.99 475 85% 14k $142k (exactly $142,358) Angry wisp
Keeper's Toll $6.99 668 88% 20k $140k (exactly $140,080) Stingbot Games
Net.Attack() - Code or Die! $7.99 510 80% 15k $122k (exactly $122,247) ByteRockers' Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.