Should I ship a Boxing RPG?
RPG + Boxing
Only 11 developers shipped a Boxing RPG in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, MMA Life Simulator, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 15 more are announced, ×5.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.
Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.
Only 3 developers shipped this in the last year, under the 5 a verdict needs; over 2 years the middle one made $2.1k against a market of $630. 15 games are announced.
not enough cohorts to draw
| Bottom 30% | $240 (exactly $240) |
|---|---|
| Median | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) |
| Top 25% | $18k (exactly $18,438) |
| Top 5% | $222k (exactly $221,719) |
| Developers, 2 yr | 11 |
| Released games | 31 |
| Announced | 15 |
| Effort | 6 / 10 |
| AI-buildability | Medium |
| Typical price | $7.99 |
momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 250% on the market, supply 65% fewer developers than the period before.
Free games: 6%, excluded from money figures.
Can AI deliver it?
AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.
What it takes
- Effort
- 6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
- Systems
- RPG, Boxing
- Price point
- $7.99 typical
Why players buy here
The top 10 games average 82% positive over 614 reviews.
What kills games here
3 in 10 developers made under $240. All of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 15 games are announced against 3 developers who shipped in the last year, ×5.0 per shipper.
Adjacent niches
RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.
- + FMVStrong odds
- + IdlerFair
- + Boss RushFair
- + SportsFair
- + Combat RacingFair
- + Split ScreenFair
- + Precision PlatformerFair
- + SamuraiPoor odds
- + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds
- + 4XPoor odds
- + MinigamesPoor odds
- + Real-Time with PausePoor odds
Comparable games
Punch Club 2016 · $3.6M 
Waifu Fighter 2022 · $642k 
MMA Life Simulator 2026 · $222k 
Chushpan Simulator 2024 · $221k 
Boxing School 2019 · $155k | Capsule | Game | Released | Price | Reviews | Est. copies | Est. revenue | Developer |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| | Punch Club | older | $9.99 | 12,098 81% | 363k | $3.6M (exactly $3,625,771) | Lazy Bear Games |
| | Waifu Fighter | older | $7.99 | 2,677 86% | 80k | $642k (exactly $641,677) | Happy Monster Studio |
| | MMA Life Simulator | $16.99 | 435 80% | 13k | $222k (exactly $221,719) | BNS7 | |
| | Chushpan Simulator | older | $2.99 | 2,466 85% | 74k | $221k (exactly $221,200) | Sebasa Games |
| | Boxing School | older | $9.99 | 516 89% | 15k | $155k (exactly $154,645) | Raptor Claw Games |
 | A.D. 2047 | older | $19.99 | 79 62% | 2.4k | $47k (exactly $47,376) | Leenzee Games |
 | Chushpan Simulator 2 | older | $2.99 | 448 81% | 13k | $40k (exactly $40,186) | Sebasa Games |
 | Morningstar: Book of the Fallen | $14.99 | 67 94% | 2.0k | $30k (exactly $30,130) | Droid Productions | |
 | Boxing School 2 | $14.99 | 41 80% | 1.2k | $18k (exactly $18,438) | Raptor Claw Games | |
 | Punch to Glory | $6.99 | 42 92% | 1.3k | $8.8k (exactly $8,807) | Musa GUNGOR | |
 | DASHPUNCH | $7.99 | 17 100% | 510 | $4.1k (exactly $4,075) | DoubleV | |
 | Glamour Riot | · EA | $9.99 | 7 28% | 210 | $2.1k (exactly $2,098) | AquaStudio, ValarFerys |
 | The Dance of Maple Leaves | $8.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $270 (exactly $270) | 程进, 程进 | |
 | Super Grapple Day | $7.99 | 1 100% | 30 | $240 (exactly $240) | AbsintheandMustard | |
 | Coin Hunter | · EA | $4.99 | 1 0% | 30 | $150 (exactly $150) | Autistic players Studio |
 | 赤马 | $1.99 | 2 100% | 60 | $119 (exactly $119) | 玄逍工作室 |
Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.
Five niches a week, one death, one deep dive.
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