Do I ship it?

GamesPvEPvE + Boxing

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a PvE Boxing game?

PvE + Boxing

Only 16 developers shipped a PvE Boxing game in the last 2 years, too few for firm odds: the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.; the top game by est. revenue, Undisputed, made about est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 30 more are announced, ×3.0 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $150 in the last 2 years and $180 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 10 developers shipped in the last year and 30 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.2 times the market baseline, revenue down 85% on the market, 30 announced, ×3.0 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
PvE + Boxing
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 16
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $20k → $25k → $479 → $90 (still earning) → $179 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for PvE + Boxing: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 16
Bottom 30% $59 (exactly $59)
Median $150 (exactly $150)
Top 25% $1.6k (exactly $1,647)
Top 5% $29M (exactly $28,779,243)
Developers, 2 yr 16
Released games 42
Announced 30
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Low
Typical price $4.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 85% on the market, supply 65% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 14%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is low: the lowest rating among its tags.

PvE
effort 6 / 10 · low · online co-op against AI still needs the whole netcode stack
Boxing
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
PvE, Boxing
Price point
$4.99 typical
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 10 games average 60% positive over 19,234 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $59, median $150, 1 in 4 over $1.6k, 1 in 20 over $28M.

3 in 10 developers made under $59. 9 in 10 of the 8 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 30 games are announced against 10 developers who shipped in the last year, ×3.0 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

PvE with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Dating SimFair17 devs · median $2.4k · 23 announced
  2. + IdlerFair161 devs · median $1.0k · 229 announced
  3. + MinigamesFair9 devs · median $899 · 14 announced
  4. + TypingFair23 devs · median $719 · 27 announced
  5. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds44 devs · median $163k · 97 announced
  6. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds50 devs · median $85k · 120 announced
  7. + HeistPoor odds18 devs · median $30k · 50 announced
  8. + MMORPGPoor odds34 devs · median $25k · 248 announced
  9. + Real-TimePoor odds10 devs · median $20k · 24 announced
  10. + NavalPoor odds21 devs · median $11k · 59 announced
  11. + SpaceshipsPoor odds16 devs · median $6.3k · 20 announced
  12. + MarsPoor odds10 devs · median $6.3k · 13 announced

All 243 pairs on the PvE page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Undisputed $49.99 19,190 60% 576k $29M (exactly $28,779,243) Steel City Interactive
Chushpan Simulator older $2.99 2,466 85% 74k $221k (exactly $221,200) Sebasa Games
Tactic Boxing older $9.99 416 77% 12k $125k (exactly $124,675) Stately Eagle Games
Chushpan Simulator 2 older $2.99 448 81% 13k $40k (exactly $40,186) Sebasa Games
Revenge of the Boxer: Moscow Criminality older $4.99 166 90% 5.0k $25k (exactly $24,850) Alligator Friends Software
Mutant Boxing League VR older $19.99 34 67% 1.0k $20k (exactly $20,390) Filmic Studios
Manny Boxing VR · EA older $14.99 41 56% 1.2k $18k (exactly $18,438) Appnori Inc.
Dragon Fury older $19.99 15 60% 450 $9.0k (exactly $8,996) Esenthel
Bloodbath older $7.99 25 36% 750 $6.0k (exactly $5,992) Freedom Factory
Sucker Punch VR older $19.99 6 83% 180 $3.6k (exactly $3,598) AR Glimpse, LLC
Boxing Simulator · EA $5.99 15 80% 450 $2.7k (exactly $2,696) Rahu Studio
Golden Gloves VR $19.99 4 75% 120 $2.4k (exactly $2,399) Engine Room VR
Superation $4.99 11 100% 330 $1.6k (exactly $1,647) Moonsaurus Games
Casual Sport Series: Boxing $5.99 5 80% 150 $898 (exactly $898) Revulo Games
S.S.C. Rusted $3.99 4 100% 120 $479 (exactly $479) Series Sun
Flame Up $2.99 2 100% 60 $179 (exactly $179) Charming Moon
The Cornerman $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) APLCN Studios
UPG - Underground $4.99 1 100% 30 $150 (exactly $150) Real Bean Interactive
Idle Muscle Up $2.99 1 100% 30 $90 (exactly $90) ytulek

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.