Do I ship it?

GamesCombatCombat + Boss Rush

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Combat Boss Rush game?

Combat + Boss Rush

Of 49 developers who shipped a Combat Boss Rush game in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 79 more are announced, ×2.2 for every developer who shipped in the last year.

Verdict: poor odds, for a 5 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $1.6k, ×2.5 the market's $630 for a 5 / 10 build, and 3 in 10 made under $450; 1 in 20 cleared $1.3M, ×2077 the market median. Revenue is down 55% on the market; 79 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year.

Deciding numbers: median 2.5 times the market baseline, revenue down 55% on the market, 79 announced, ×2.2 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
Combat + Boss Rush
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 49
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $5.9k → $23k → $3.3k → $59k → $5.0k → $5.8k → $419 (still earning) → $3.9k (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for Combat + Boss Rush: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 49
Bottom 30% $449 (exactly $449)
Median $1.6k (exactly $1,559)
Top 25% $6.7k (exactly $6,742)
Top 5% $1.3M (exactly $1,304,565)
Developers, 2 yr 49
Released games 89
Announced 79
Effort 5 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $5.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue down 55% on the market, supply 175% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 17%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

Combat
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band
Boss Rush
effort 4 / 10 · medium · effort 4 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
5 / 10 · real systems or entry 3D
Systems
Combat, Boss Rush; 4 in 10 of the top 25% also carry Action, Souls-like, 2D Platformer
Price point
$5.99 typical · top 25% priced $17.99 or above
Art
5 in 10 of the top 25% ship with 2D, Pixel Graphics, Difficult
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $17.99 or above; the middle game at $5.99.

The top 10 games average 91% positive over 8,408 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $450, median $1.6k, 1 in 4 over $6.7k, 1 in 20 over $1.3M.

3 in 10 developers made under $450. 9 in 10 of the 19 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 79 games are announced against 36 developers who shipped in the last year, ×2.2 per shipper.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

Combat with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + Real-Time with PauseStrong odds14 devs · median $15k · 12 announced
  2. + 4XFair32 devs · median $3.8k · 48 announced
  3. + TypingFair20 devs · median $2.2k · 26 announced
  4. + VampiresFair54 devs · median $1.9k · 64 announced
  5. + SnowFair21 devs · median $1.2k · 24 announced
  6. + Walking SimulatorFair51 devs · median $599 · 61 announced
  7. + Match 3Long shot13 devs · median $359 · 16 announced
  8. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds32 devs · median $55k · 85 announced
  9. + Political SimPoor odds14 devs · median $49k · 22 announced
  10. + Extraction ShooterPoor odds21 devs · median $31k · 47 announced
  11. + Dating SimPoor odds23 devs · median $19k · 45 announced
  12. + LGBTQ+Poor odds52 devs · median $16k · 90 announced

All 248 pairs on the Combat page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
Rubinite $19.99 3,587 94% 108k $2.2M (exactly $2,151,124) Cup Dog Games, GameWorks Ventures
Eldest Souls older $19.99 3,125 76% 94k $1.9M (exactly $1,874,062) Fallen Flag Studio
Dinoblade $19.99 2,420 90% 73k $1.5M (exactly $1,451,274) Team Spino LLC
Terminator 2D: NO FATE $29.99 1,450 84% 44k $1.3M (exactly $1,304,565) Bitmap Bureau
NanoApostle older $19.99 1,184 95% 36k $710k (exactly $710,045) 18Light Game Ltd.
Perennial Order older $19.99 687 93% 21k $412k (exactly $411,994) Gardenfiend Games
Gurei $15.99 281 83% 8.4k $135k (exactly $134,796) Lobo Sagaz studio
Air Twister older $24.99 101 93% 3.0k $76k (exactly $75,720) YS NET
ONE BTN BOSSES older $11.99 165 87% 5.0k $59k (exactly $59,350) Midnight Munchies
Second Stellar · EA $4.99 334 99% 10k $50k (exactly $50,000) Pepperlog
Leftovers KO! $9.99 92 66% 2.8k $28k (exactly $27,572) Mountain Man Animation
Box Knight $14.99 48 93% 1.4k $22k (exactly $21,586) We Made A Thing Studios
VOIDFACE $8.99 78 96% 2.3k $21k (exactly $21,037) Frog Hat Labs
Bittersweet Birthday $17.99 26 92% 780 $14k (exactly $14,032) World Eater Games
ABYSSAL BLADE $4.99 92 96% 2.8k $14k (exactly $13,772) Vifer Games

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.