Do I ship it?

GamesRPGRPG + Boomer Shooter

Specimen · observed

Should I ship a Boomer Shooter RPG?

RPG + Boomer Shooter

Of 35 developers who shipped a Boomer Shooter RPG in the last 2 years: 3 in 10 made under est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., the middle one made est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 4 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method., 1 in 20 cleared est. revenue: est. copies × today's US list price; gross, before Steam's cut, taxes and refunds. See method.. 36 more are announced.

Verdict: dead, for a 6 / 10 build.

The middle developer here made $180 in the last 2 years and $300 over 4, against a market of $630 for a 6 / 10 build. 19 developers shipped in the last year and 36 games are announced.

Deciding numbers: median 0.3 times the market baseline, revenue up 320% on the market, 36 announced, ×1.9 per developer who shipped in the last year.
Nobody has said they are building this yet.
RPG + Boomer Shooter
Fig. 1 · this niche among 16,100
Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr n = 35
Median est. gross by half-year cohort, 2023 H1 to 2026 H2: $150 → $89 → $4.6k → $60 (still earning)
The last cohort is still earning.
Outcomes for RPG + Boomer Shooter: Plate 1 · outcomes, 2 yr, n = 35
Bottom 30% $30 (exactly $30)
Median $179 (exactly $179)
Top 25% $19k (exactly $19,337)
Top 5% $4.2M (exactly $4,185,575)
Developers, 2 yr 35
Released games 63
Announced 36
Effort 6 / 10
AI-buildability Medium
Typical price $6.99

momentum: how a niche's revenue percentiles and developer count moved between two equal, adjacent periods, divided by the market's own move. See method., 12 months: revenue up 320% on the market, supply 20% more developers than the period before.

Free games: 13%, excluded from money figures.

See every window in the explorer →

Plate 2 · systems and tooling

Can AI deliver it?

AI-buildability for this niche is medium: the lowest rating among its tags.

RPG
effort 6 / 10 · medium · effort 6 sits in the medium band
Boomer Shooter
effort 5 / 10 · medium · effort 5 sits in the medium band

How the rubric works →

Plate 3 · the cost side

What it takes

Effort
6 / 10 · full 3D single-player, physics sims, content-heavy RPG
Systems
RPG, Boomer Shooter; 7 in 10 of the top 25% also carry FPS, Action, Shooter
Price point
$6.99 typical · top 25% priced $24.99 or above
Art
4 in 10 of the top 25% ship with First-Person, Atmospheric, Stylized
Plate 4 · demand

Why players buy here

The top 25% priced at $24.99 or above; the middle game at $6.99.

The top 10 games average 89% positive over 19,679 reviews.

Plate 5 · the loss side

What kills games here

Developer outcomes in the last 2 years by share: 3 in 10 under $50, median $180, 1 in 4 over $19k, 1 in 20 over $4.1M.

3 in 10 developers made under $50. 8 in 10 of the 26 games released 1 to 2 years ago have fewer than 100 reviews. 36 games are announced against 19 developers who shipped in the last year.

Plate 6 · same mechanic, other settings

Adjacent niches

RPG with a different second tag, ranked by verdict then median.

  1. + FMVStrong odds169 devs · median $54k · 144 announced
  2. + IdlerFair357 devs · median $2.2k · 471 announced
  3. + Boss RushFair20 devs · median $1.8k · 27 announced
  4. + SportsFair113 devs · median $1.5k · 124 announced
  5. + Combat RacingFair22 devs · median $629 · 28 announced
  6. + Split ScreenFair28 devs · median $450 · 31 announced
  7. + Precision PlatformerFair41 devs · median $449 · 43 announced
  8. + SamuraiPoor odds14 devs · median $261k · 14 announced
  9. + Open World Survival CraftPoor odds76 devs · median $96k · 165 announced
  10. + 4XPoor odds26 devs · median $54k · 56 announced
  11. + MinigamesPoor odds19 devs · median $40k · 34 announced
  12. + Real-Time with PausePoor odds15 devs · median $28k · 19 announced

All 262 pairs on the RPG page

Plate 7 · comparable specimens, by est. revenue

Comparable games

Capsule Game Released Price Reviews Est. copies Est. revenue Developer
SULFUR · EA $24.99 9,641 87% 289k $7.2M (exactly $7,227,858) Perfect Random
Mortal Sin $24.99 5,583 94% 167k $4.2M (exactly $4,185,575) Nikola Todorovic
Project Warlock older $12.00 4,691 87% 141k $1.7M (exactly $1,688,760) Buckshot Software
Vampire Hunters $14.99 1,941 89% 58k $873k (exactly $872,868) Gamecraft Studios
Heretic + Hexen $14.99 1,789 95% 54k $805k (exactly $804,513) id Software, Nightdive Studios
Fog of War older $8.99 686 46% 21k $185k (exactly $185,014) Monkeys Lab.
Daikatana older $6.99 806 58% 24k $169k (exactly $169,018) Ion Storm
Strife: Veteran Edition older $9.99 475 90% 14k $142k (exactly $142,358) Rogue Entertainment
Golden Chambers · EA $19.99 195 80% 5.9k $117k (exactly $116,941) Mr. Pink
UNYIELDER $24.99 117 62% 3.5k $88k (exactly $87,715) TrueWorld Studios
HYPERVIOLENT $14.99 156 67% 4.7k $70k (exactly $70,153) nfoPRINCE, Terminist Arcade
Second Sun $19.99 115 69% 3.5k $69k (exactly $68,966) Grey Wolf Entertainment
Cyberscape $14.99 43 93% 1.3k $19k (exactly $19,337) AtomicTorch Studio
宗门最后的长老 $2.99 99 96% 3.0k $8.9k (exactly $8,880) KUMA studio

Estimates: copies = reviews × 30, gross = copies × list price.